CHDN Straddle Strategy

CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Gambling, Resorts & Casinos industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CDI) is a leading U.S. entertainment enterprise focused on horse racing, online wagering, and general gaming activities. Its extensive operations are categorized into three main divisions: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. As of December 31, 2021, CDI's portfolio included three pari-mutuel gaming venues in Kentucky, collectively featuring approximately 3,050 historical racing machines. The company also operates TwinSpires, a comprehensive digital platform offering betting on horse races, sports, and iGaming. Furthermore, CDI manages nine brick-and-mortar sportsbooks and runs casino gaming across eight states, housing around 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals, in addition to 200 table games. Beyond these core ventures, Churchill Downs Incorporated delivers streaming video of live horse races and replays, along with a wide array of racing and handicapping information.

CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Gambling, Resorts & Casinos, with a market capitalization of approximately $6.20B, a trailing P/E of 16.14, a beta of 0.68 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 80.24-118.46, average daily share volume of 999K, a public-listing history dating back to 1993, approximately 6K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CHDN stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 0.68 indicates CHDN has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. CHDN pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.

What is a straddle on CHDN?

A long straddle buys an ATM call and an ATM put at the same strike, profiting from a large move in either direction; max loss equals the combined debit when the underlying pins to the strike at expiration.

Current CHDN snapshot

As of June 30, 2026, spot at $90.19, ATM IV 34.40%, IV rank 52.11%, expected move 9.86%. The straddle on CHDN below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 17-day expiry.

Why this straddle structure on CHDN specifically: CHDN IV at 34.40% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 9.86% (roughly $8.89 on the underlying). The 17-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CHDN expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CHDN should anchor to the underlying notional of $90.19 per share and to the trader's directional view on CHDN stock.

CHDN straddle setup

The CHDN straddle below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CHDN near $90.19, the first option leg uses a $90.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CHDN chain at a 17-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CHDN shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Call$90.00$2.95
Buy 1Put$90.00$2.43

CHDN straddle risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
-$537.50
Max Profit (per contract)
Unbounded
Max Loss (per contract)
-$511.68
Breakeven(s)
$84.63, $95.38
Risk / Reward Ratio
Unbounded

Upside max profit is unbounded; downside max profit is bounded at the strike minus the combined call plus put debit (reached at zero). Max loss equals the combined debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins to the strike). Two breakevens at strike plus debit and strike minus debit.

CHDN straddle payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the straddle on CHDN. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

CHDN straddle profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedCHDN straddle payoff at expiration$0$2000$4000$6000$8000$50$100$150Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $84.63BE $95.38Spot $90.19
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-100.0%+$8,461.50
$19.95-77.9%+$6,467.46
$39.89-55.8%+$4,473.42
$59.83-33.7%+$2,479.38
$79.77-11.6%+$485.34
$99.71+10.6%+$433.70
$119.65+32.7%+$2,427.74
$139.59+54.8%+$4,421.78
$159.53+76.9%+$6,415.82
$179.47+99.0%+$8,409.86

When traders use straddle on CHDN

Straddles on CHDN are pure-volatility plays that profit from large moves in either direction; traders typically buy CHDN straddles ahead of earnings, FDA decisions, or other catalysts where the realized move is expected to exceed the implied move priced into the chain.

CHDN thesis for this straddle

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CHDN extends from approximately $81.30 on the downside to $99.08 on the upside. A CHDN long straddle is a pure-volatility play: it profits when the underlying moves far enough from the strike in either direction to overcome the combined call plus put debit, regardless of direction. Current CHDN IV rank near 52.11% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the straddle thesis on CHDN should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Consumer Cyclical name, CHDN options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CHDN-specific events.

CHDN straddle positions are structurally neutral / high-volatility (long premium); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CHDN positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CHDN alongside the broader basket even when CHDN-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CHDN chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a straddle on CHDN?
A straddle on CHDN is the straddle strategy applied to CHDN (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / high-volatility (long premium): A long straddle buys an ATM call and an ATM put at the same strike, profiting from a large move in either direction; max loss equals the combined debit when the underlying pins to the strike at expiration. With CHDN stock trading near $90.19, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CHDN chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are CHDN straddle max profit and max loss calculated?
Upside max profit is unbounded; downside max profit is bounded at the strike minus the combined call plus put debit (reached at zero). Max loss equals the combined debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins to the strike). Two breakevens at strike plus debit and strike minus debit. For the CHDN straddle priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 34.40%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$511.68 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a CHDN straddle?
The breakeven for the CHDN straddle priced on this page is roughly $84.63 and $95.38 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CHDN market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 9.86%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a straddle on CHDN?
Straddles on CHDN are pure-volatility plays that profit from large moves in either direction; traders typically buy CHDN straddles ahead of earnings, FDA decisions, or other catalysts where the realized move is expected to exceed the implied move priced into the chain.
How does current CHDN implied volatility affect this straddle?
CHDN ATM IV is at 34.40% with IV rank near 52.11%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.

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