CEPU Butterfly Strategy
CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.), in the Utilities sector, (Regulated Electric industry), listed on NYSE.
Central Puerto S.A. generates and sells electric power to private and public customers in Argentina. It also produces steam. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated five thermal generation plants, one hydroelectric generation plant, and seven wind farms with a total installed capacity of 4,809 MW. Central Puerto S.A. was founded in 1898 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.) trades in the Utilities sector, specifically Regulated Electric, with a market capitalization of approximately $2.13B, a trailing P/E of 9.54, a beta of -0.20 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 7.43-18.503, average daily share volume of 379K, a public-listing history dating back to 2018, approximately 865 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CEPU stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of -0.20 indicates CEPU has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. The trailing P/E of 9.54 is on the value side, where IV often compresses outside event windows because forward growth expectations are already discounted into the share price. CEPU pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on CEPU?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current CEPU snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $13.82, ATM IV 92.50%, IV rank 31.38%, expected move 26.52%. The butterfly on CEPU below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on CEPU specifically: CEPU IV at 92.50% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 26.52% (roughly $3.66 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CEPU expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CEPU should anchor to the underlying notional of $13.82 per share and to the trader's directional view on CEPU stock.
CEPU butterfly setup
The CEPU butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CEPU near $13.82, the first option leg uses a $13.13 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CEPU chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CEPU shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $13.13 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $13.82 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $14.51 | N/A |
CEPU butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
CEPU butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on CEPU. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on CEPU
Butterflies on CEPU are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CEPU to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
CEPU thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CEPU extends from approximately $10.16 on the downside to $17.48 on the upside. A CEPU long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if CEPU settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current CEPU IV rank near 31.38% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on CEPU should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Utilities name, CEPU options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CEPU-specific events.
CEPU butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CEPU positions also carry Utilities sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CEPU alongside the broader basket even when CEPU-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CEPU chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on CEPU?
- A butterfly on CEPU is the butterfly strategy applied to CEPU (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With CEPU stock trading near $13.82, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CEPU chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are CEPU butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CEPU butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 92.50%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a CEPU butterfly?
- The breakeven for the CEPU butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CEPU market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 26.52%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on CEPU?
- Butterflies on CEPU are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CEPU to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current CEPU implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- CEPU ATM IV is at 92.50% with IV rank near 31.38%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.