BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) IV/HV History
Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.
BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Residential Construction industry, with a market capitalization near $1.13B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 128 people, carrying a beta of 0.46 to the broader market. BOXABL is a modular construction and housing technology company that manufactures factory-built, rapidly deployable housing systems. Led by Paolo Tiramani, public since 2026-07-20.
Snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $3.20
- ATM IV
- 114.4%
- HV 20-Day
- 60.5%
As of Oct 14, 2026, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ATM implied volatility is 114.4%. 20-day realized volatility is 60.5%, producing an IV-HV spread of +53.9 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium.
How BXBL iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection
Strategy selection on BOXABL Inc. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 114.4% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.
How to read the BXBL IV vs HV chart
The dual-line chart below tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 114.4%, against 60.5% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 53.9 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.
BXBL IV/HV regimes and trade selection
Using BXBL vol history alongside the term structure
The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Contango (positive slope 1.299) is the resting state - longer-dated IV trades above near-dated IV because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.
BXBL IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context
Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. Use the time series below to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.
Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →
Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for BXBL over the last ~23 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.
Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.
| Date | ATM IV | HV 20d | HV 60d | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 114.4% | 60.5% | - | - |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 36.3% | 60.8% | - | - |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 35.2% | 61.4% | - | - |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 35.1% | 62.8% | - | - |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 33.9% | 64.5% | - | - |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 32.7% | 66.5% | - | - |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 35.7% | 68.5% | - | - |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 35.7% | 70.9% | - | - |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 24.2% | - | - | - |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 188.2% | - | - | - |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 262.2% | - | - | - |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 25.7% | - | - | - |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 25.3% | - | - | - |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 221.0% | - | - | - |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 93.4% | - | - | - |
Frequently asked BXBL iv/hv history questions
- Is BXBL options pricing rich or cheap right now?
- As of Oct 14, 2026, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ATM IV is 114.4% against 20-day realized volatility of 60.5%. BXBL options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 53.9 vol points.
- What is the BXBL variance risk premium?
- The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. BXBL is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
- What does BXBL IV rank mean for strategy selection?
- IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. BXBL's current rank signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.