Is BUR options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jun 30, 2026, Burford Capital Limited (BUR) ATM IV is 90.0% against 20-day realized volatility of 55.3%. IV rank is 38.7%. BUR options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 34.7 vol points.

What is the BUR variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. BUR is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does BUR IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. BUR's current rank of 38.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management industry, with a market capitalization near $917.9M, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 171 people, carrying a beta of 1.06 to the broader market. Burford Capital Limited provides legal finance products and services worldwide. Led by Christopher Bogart, public since 2020-10-19.

Snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.

Spot Price: $4.16
ATM IV: 90.0%
HV 20-Day: 55.3%
HV 60-Day: 64.1%
IV Rank: 38.7%
IV Percentile: 96.4%

As of Jun 30, 2026, Burford Capital Limited (BUR) ATM implied volatility is 90.0%. 20-day realized volatility is 55.3%, producing an IV-HV spread of +34.7 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 38.7%.

How BUR iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Burford Capital Limited options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 90.0% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the BUR IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 90.0%, 38.7% IV rank, against 55.3% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 34.7 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

BUR IV/HV regimes and trade selection

BUR IV rank at 38.7% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using BUR vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Backwardation (negative slope -0.360) indicates acute near-term event risk - near-dated tenors price disproportionate vol. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

BUR IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. BUR's 38.7% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (55.3%) to HV-60 (64.1%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for BUR over the last ~40 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jun 30, 2026	90.0%	55.3%	64.1%	38.7%
Jun 29, 2026	20.7%	54.5%	63.4%	8.6%
Jun 26, 2026	1.0%	52.7%	64.1%	0.0%
Jun 25, 2026	9.1%	52.5%	64.5%	3.5%
Jun 24, 2026	92.4%	54.5%	140.3%	39.8%
Jun 23, 2026	10.6%	56.5%	140.3%	4.2%
Jun 22, 2026	10.9%	55.6%	140.3%	4.3%
Jun 18, 2026	16.5%	61.0%	140.2%	6.7%
Jun 17, 2026	24.0%	61.5%	140.4%	10.0%
Jun 16, 2026	21.3%	66.5%	140.8%	8.8%
Jun 15, 2026	15.4%	66.6%	140.8%	6.3%
Jun 11, 2026	24.9%	66.1%	140.3%	10.4%
Jun 10, 2026	27.4%	66.3%	140.5%	11.5%
Jun 9, 2026	60.6%	64.9%	140.2%	25.9%
Jun 8, 2026	58.7%	69.7%	140.4%	25.1%

Frequently asked BUR iv/hv history questions

Is BUR options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jun 30, 2026, Burford Capital Limited (BUR) ATM IV is 90.0% against 20-day realized volatility of 55.3%. IV rank is 38.7%. BUR options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 34.7 vol points.
What is the BUR variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. BUR is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does BUR IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. BUR's current rank of 38.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.