BPOP Butterfly Strategy
BPOP (Popular, Inc.), in the Financial Services sector, (Banks - Regional industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Popular, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various retail, mortgage, and commercial banking products and services in Puerto Rico, the United States, and British Virgin Islands. The company provides savings, NOW, money market, and other interest-bearing demand accounts; non-interest bearing demand deposits; and certificates of deposit. It also offers commercial and industrial, commercial multi-family, commercial real estate, and residential mortgage loans; consumer loans, including personal loans, credit cards, automobile loans, home equity lines of credit, and other loans to individual borrowers; construction loans; and lease financing comprising automobile loans/leases. In addition, the company provides investment banking, auto and equipment leasing and financing, broker-dealer, and insurance services; debit cards; and online banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 169 branches; and 616 ATMs in Puerto Rico, 23 ATMs in the Virgin Islands, and 91 ATMs in the United States Mainland. Popular, Inc. was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Hato Rey, Puerto Rico.
BPOP (Popular, Inc.) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Banks - Regional, with a market capitalization of approximately $9.23B, a trailing P/E of 10.30, a beta of 0.65 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 100.54-152.95, average daily share volume of 527K, a public-listing history dating back to 1980, approximately 9K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how BPOP stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.65 indicates BPOP has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. The trailing P/E of 10.30 is on the value side, where IV often compresses outside event windows because forward growth expectations are already discounted into the share price. BPOP pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on BPOP?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current BPOP snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $143.89, ATM IV 26.20%, IV rank 4.19%, expected move 7.51%. The butterfly on BPOP below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on BPOP specifically: BPOP IV at 26.20% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a BPOP butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 7.51% (roughly $10.81 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated BPOP expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on BPOP should anchor to the underlying notional of $143.89 per share and to the trader's directional view on BPOP stock.
BPOP butterfly setup
The BPOP butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With BPOP near $143.89, the first option leg uses a $135.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed BPOP chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 BPOP shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $135.00 | $10.70 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $145.00 | $3.90 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $150.00 | $1.80 |
BPOP butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$470.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $491.80
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$470.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $139.70
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.046
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
BPOP butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on BPOP. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$470.00 |
| $31.82 | -77.9% | -$470.00 |
| $63.64 | -55.8% | -$470.00 |
| $95.45 | -33.7% | -$470.00 |
| $127.27 | -11.6% | -$470.00 |
| $159.08 | +10.6% | +$30.00 |
| $190.89 | +32.7% | +$30.00 |
| $222.71 | +54.8% | +$30.00 |
| $254.52 | +76.9% | +$30.00 |
| $286.33 | +99.0% | +$30.00 |
When traders use butterfly on BPOP
Butterflies on BPOP are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BPOP to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
BPOP thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for BPOP extends from approximately $133.08 on the downside to $154.70 on the upside. A BPOP long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if BPOP settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current BPOP IV rank near 4.19% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on BPOP at 26.20%. As a Financial Services name, BPOP options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to BPOP-specific events.
BPOP butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. BPOP positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move BPOP alongside the broader basket even when BPOP-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current BPOP chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on BPOP?
- A butterfly on BPOP is the butterfly strategy applied to BPOP (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With BPOP stock trading near $143.89, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed BPOP chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are BPOP butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the BPOP butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 26.20%), the computed maximum profit is $491.80 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$470.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a BPOP butterfly?
- The breakeven for the BPOP butterfly priced on this page is roughly $139.70 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current BPOP market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 7.51%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on BPOP?
- Butterflies on BPOP are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BPOP to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current BPOP implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- BPOP ATM IV is at 26.20% with IV rank near 4.19%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.