BKSY Butterfly Strategy
BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc.), in the Technology sector, (Hardware, Equipment & Parts industry), listed on NYSE.
BlackSky Technology Inc. provides geospatial intelligence, imagery and related data analytic products and services, and mission systems that include the development, integration, and operations of satellite and ground systems to commercial and government customers worldwide. The company processes a range of observations from its constellation, as well as various space, internet-of-things, and terrestrial based sensors and data feeds. Its products are used in government defense and intelligence; commercial, construction, and industrial; and catastrophe, climate, and environment applications. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.
BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Hardware, Equipment & Parts, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.53B, a beta of 2.44 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 9.876-44.7, average daily share volume of 1.8M, a public-listing history dating back to 2019, approximately 340 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how BKSY stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.44 indicates BKSY has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.
What is a butterfly on BKSY?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current BKSY snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $40.50, ATM IV 115.80%, IV rank 53.88%, expected move 33.20%. The butterfly on BKSY below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on BKSY specifically: BKSY IV at 115.80% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 33.20% (roughly $13.45 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated BKSY expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on BKSY should anchor to the underlying notional of $40.50 per share and to the trader's directional view on BKSY stock.
BKSY butterfly setup
The BKSY butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With BKSY near $40.50, the first option leg uses a $38.48 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed BKSY chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 BKSY shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $38.48 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $40.50 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $42.53 | N/A |
BKSY butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
BKSY butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on BKSY. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on BKSY
Butterflies on BKSY are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BKSY to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
BKSY thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for BKSY extends from approximately $27.05 on the downside to $53.95 on the upside. A BKSY long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if BKSY settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current BKSY IV rank near 53.88% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on BKSY should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Technology name, BKSY options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to BKSY-specific events.
BKSY butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. BKSY positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move BKSY alongside the broader basket even when BKSY-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current BKSY chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on BKSY?
- A butterfly on BKSY is the butterfly strategy applied to BKSY (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With BKSY stock trading near $40.50, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed BKSY chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are BKSY butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the BKSY butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 115.80%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a BKSY butterfly?
- The breakeven for the BKSY butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current BKSY market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 33.20%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on BKSY?
- Butterflies on BKSY are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BKSY to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current BKSY implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- BKSY ATM IV is at 115.80% with IV rank near 53.88%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.