Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Information Technology Services industry, with a market capitalization near $16.46B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 1,800 people, carrying a beta of 2.59 to the broader market. Aurora Innovation, Inc. Led by Christopher Urmson, public since 2021-05-10.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$7.78
ATM IV
78.8%
HV 20-Day
96.4%
HV 60-Day
76.3%
IV Rank
40.5%
IV Percentile
66.7%

As of May 15, 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) ATM implied volatility is 78.8%. 20-day realized volatility is 96.4%, producing an IV-HV spread of -17.6 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 40.5%.

How AUR iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Aurora Innovation, Inc. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 78.8% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Frequently asked AUR iv/hv history questions

Is AUR options pricing rich or cheap right now?
As of May 15, 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) ATM IV is 78.8% against 20-day realized volatility of 96.4%. IV rank is 40.5%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the AUR variance risk premium?
The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AUR is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does AUR IV rank mean for strategy selection?
IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AUR's current rank of 40.5% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.