Aura Minerals (AUGO) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Snapshot as of Apr 28, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $83.88
- Expected Move
- 20.9%
- Implied High
- $101.41
- Implied Low
- $66.35
- Front DTE
- 17 days
As of Apr 28, 2026, Aura Minerals (AUGO) has an expected move of 20.90% — a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $66.35 to $101.41 from the current $83.88. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
Per-expiration expected move for AUGO derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $83.88 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions — roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 17 | 72.9% | 15.7% | $97.08 | $70.68 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 51 | 73.1% | 27.3% | $106.80 | $60.96 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 115 | 71.1% | 39.9% | $117.36 | $50.40 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 206 | 71.0% | 53.3% | $128.62 | $39.14 |