AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Max Pain Analysis
Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Communication Equipment industry, with a market capitalization near $30.43B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 578 people, carrying a beta of 2.60 to the broader market. AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Led by Abel Avellan, public since 2019-11-01.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $84.06
- Max Pain Strike
- $85.00
- Total OI
- 1.4M
As of May 15, 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) max pain sits at $85.00, which is above the current spot price of $84.06 (1.1% away). Spot sits within 2% of the max-pain level for AST SpaceMobile, Inc., the band where dealer hedging activity around the high-OI strikes can meaningfully reinforce a closing-week pin. ASTS sits in the lower-price band (spot $84.06), where $0.50-$2.50 strike spacing makes pin-to-strike effects easy to spot but per-contract dollar gamma is smaller. Total open interest across the listed chain (1.4M contracts) is dense enough that high-OI strikes carry meaningful structural support and resistance. ASTS is currently in positive dealer gamma ($36.0M), the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning by inducing dealers to buy weakness and sell strength near heavy-OI strikes. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.
ASTS Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level
With spot 1.1% from the $85.00 max-pain level and AST SpaceMobile, Inc. in a positive-gamma regime, where dealer hedging mechanically pulls spot toward heavy-OI strikes, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.
Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked ASTS max pain analysis questions
- What is the current ASTS max pain strike?
- As of May 15, 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) max pain sits at $85.00, which is 1.1% above the current spot price of $84.06. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. At a 1.1% distance, ASTS sits inside the band where dealer hedging can mechanically pull spot toward max pain during the closing week of the expiration cycle.
- Does ASTS pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
- ASTS is currently in positive dealer gamma, the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning. Dealers hedging long-gamma books buy weakness and sell strength near high-OI strikes, which pulls spot toward those levels into expiration. Total open interest across ASTS (1.4M contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether ASTS actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
- How is ASTS max pain calculated?
- Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. ASTS put/call OI ratio is 0.39 - call-heavy, which biases the max-pain calculation toward strikes above current spot when the call OI concentrates there.