ARBE Iron Condor Strategy
ARBE (Arbe Robotics Ltd.), in the Technology sector, (Software - Infrastructure industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions for tier 1 automotive suppliers and automotive manufacturers in Israel and the United States. It offers 4D imaging radar chipset solutions that address the core issues that have caused autonomous vehicle and autopilot accidents, such as detecting stationary objects, identifying vulnerable road users, and eliminating false alarms without radar ambiguities. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
ARBE (Arbe Robotics Ltd.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Infrastructure, with a market capitalization of approximately $123.9M, a beta of 0.98 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 0.552-2.88, average daily share volume of 1.6M, a public-listing history dating back to 2020, approximately 138 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how ARBE stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.98 places ARBE roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a iron condor on ARBE?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
Current ARBE snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $1.04, ATM IV 157.00%, IV rank 49.25%, expected move 45.01%. The iron condor on ARBE below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on ARBE specifically: ARBE IV at 157.00% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so the credit collected on a ARBE iron condor sits in line with its long-run distribution, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 45.01% (roughly $0.47 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated ARBE expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on ARBE should anchor to the underlying notional of $1.04 per share and to the trader's directional view on ARBE stock.
ARBE iron condor setup
The ARBE iron condor below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With ARBE near $1.04, the first option leg uses a $1.09 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed ARBE chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 ARBE shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $1.09 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $1.14 | N/A |
| Sell 1 | Put | $0.99 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Put | $0.94 | N/A |
ARBE iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
ARBE iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on ARBE. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use iron condor on ARBE
Iron condors on ARBE are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if ARBE stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
ARBE thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for ARBE extends from approximately $0.57 on the downside to $1.51 on the upside. A ARBE iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when ARBE stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current ARBE IV rank near 49.25% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the iron condor thesis on ARBE should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Technology name, ARBE options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to ARBE-specific events.
ARBE iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. ARBE positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move ARBE alongside the broader basket even when ARBE-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on ARBE carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical ARBE earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current ARBE chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on ARBE?
- A iron condor on ARBE is the iron condor strategy applied to ARBE (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With ARBE stock trading near $1.04, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed ARBE chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are ARBE iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the ARBE iron condor priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 157.00%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a ARBE iron condor?
- The breakeven for the ARBE iron condor priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current ARBE market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 45.01%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on ARBE?
- Iron condors on ARBE are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if ARBE stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current ARBE implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- ARBE ATM IV is at 157.00% with IV rank near 49.25%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.