Is AR options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jun 30, 2026, Antero Resources Corporation (AR) ATM IV is 40.6% against 20-day realized volatility of 34.0%. IV rank is 39.7%. AR options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 6.6 vol points.

What is the AR variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AR is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does AR IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AR's current rank of 39.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Antero Resources Corporation (AR) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Antero Resources Corporation (AR) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, with a market capitalization near $10.90B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 616 people, carrying a beta of 0.32 to the broader market. Antero Resources Corporation functions as an independent energy enterprise, primarily engaged in identifying, acquiring, developing, and extracting natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil deposits throughout the United States. Led by Michael N. Kennedy, public since 2013-10-10.

Snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.

Spot Price: $35.39
ATM IV: 40.6%
HV 20-Day: 34.0%
HV 60-Day: 34.3%
IV Rank: 39.7%
IV Percentile: 45.2%

As of Jun 30, 2026, Antero Resources Corporation (AR) ATM implied volatility is 40.6%. 20-day realized volatility is 34.0%, producing an IV-HV spread of +6.6 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 39.7%.

How AR iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Antero Resources Corporation options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 40.6% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the AR IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 40.6%, 39.7% IV rank, against 34.0% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 6.6 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

AR IV/HV regimes and trade selection

AR IV rank at 39.7% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using AR vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at -0.010, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

AR IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. AR's 39.7% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (34.0%) to HV-60 (34.3%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for AR over the last ~41 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jun 30, 2026	40.6%	34.0%	34.3%	39.7%
Jun 29, 2026	38.3%	35.2%	33.8%	27.8%
Jun 26, 2026	38.2%	34.5%	34.4%	27.2%
Jun 25, 2026	38.4%	34.8%	34.9%	28.2%
Jun 24, 2026	38.5%	35.4%	35.1%	28.7%
Jun 23, 2026	37.8%	36.4%	35.3%	25.1%
Jun 22, 2026	36.6%	36.1%	35.1%	18.6%
Jun 18, 2026	33.8%	34.9%	35.1%	3.5%
Jun 17, 2026	33.5%	35.7%	35.6%	2.1%
Jun 16, 2026	33.8%	36.8%	35.7%	3.7%
Jun 15, 2026	34.2%	37.0%	35.8%	5.8%
Jun 12, 2026	36.2%	38.8%	36.6%	16.3%
Jun 11, 2026	33.6%	38.5%	36.5%	2.8%
Jun 10, 2026	38.5%	36.1%	35.7%	28.7%
Jun 9, 2026	36.2%	33.9%	35.0%	16.5%

AR highest implied-volatility contracts

Type	Strike	Expiration	Volume	OI	IV	Bid	Ask
PUT	$30.00	Aug 21, 2026	2	48.9K	38.3%	$0.25	$0.30
CALL	$36.00	Jul 17, 2026	44	12.1K	36.0%	$0.80	$0.95
PUT	$30.00	Aug 21, 2026	2	48.9K	38.3%	$0.25	$0.30
CALL	$36.00	Jul 2, 2026	360	167	41.8%	$0.15	$0.25

Top 4 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.

Frequently asked AR iv/hv history questions

Is AR options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jun 30, 2026, Antero Resources Corporation (AR) ATM IV is 40.6% against 20-day realized volatility of 34.0%. IV rank is 39.7%. AR options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 6.6 vol points.
What is the AR variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AR is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does AR IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AR's current rank of 39.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.