AMAU Butterfly Strategy

AMAU (Themes ETF Trust - Leverage Shares 2X Long AMAT Daily ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on CBOE.

AMAU is designedfor makingbullishbets on the stock price ofApplied Materials, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMAT), through swap agreements. Theobjectiveis to obtain daily leveraged exposure equivalent to 200% of the fund's net assets. Tomaintainthis exposure, daily rebalancing is performed tomake adjustmentsin response toAMAT's daily price movements. As a geared product, the fund is intended as a short-term tactical tool, ratherthan asa long-term investment vehicle. As a result, returns may deviate from the expected 2x if held for longer than a single day due to compounding. This strategy is high-risk and does not include a defensive position as part of its overall process.

AMAU (Themes ETF Trust - Leverage Shares 2X Long AMAT Daily ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $22.2M, a beta of -30.15 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 10.11-37.41, average daily share volume of 282K, a public-listing history dating back to 2026. These structural characteristics shape how AMAU stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of -30.15 indicates AMAU has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.

What is a butterfly on AMAU?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

AMAU snapshot

As of September 29, 2026, spot at $15.27, ATM IV 109.00%, expected move 31.25%. The butterfly on AMAU below is built from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 80-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on AMAU specifically: IV rank is unavailable in the current snapshot, so regime-based timing for AMAU is inferred from ATM IV at 109.00% alone, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 31.25% (roughly $4.77 on the underlying). The 80-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AMAU expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AMAU should anchor to the underlying notional of $15.27 per share and to the trader's directional view on AMAU stock.

AMAU butterfly setup

The AMAU butterfly below is built from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AMAU at $15.27 on that close, the first option leg uses a $15.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AMAU chain at a 80-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AMAU shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Call$15.00$3.40
Sell 2Call$15.00$3.40
Buy 1Call$16.00$2.85

AMAU butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
+$55.00
Max Profit (per contract)
$55.00
Max Loss (per contract)
-$45.00
Breakeven(s)
$15.55
Risk / Reward Ratio
1.222

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

AMAU butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on AMAU. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

AMAU butterfly profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedAMAU butterfly payoff at expiration-$40-$20$0$20$40$5$10$15$20$25$30Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $15.55Spot $15.27
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-99.9%+$55.00
$3.39-77.8%+$55.00
$6.76-55.7%+$55.00
$10.14-33.6%+$55.00
$13.51-11.5%+$55.00
$16.89+10.6%-$45.00
$20.26+32.7%-$45.00
$23.64+54.8%-$45.00
$27.01+76.9%-$45.00
$30.39+99.0%-$45.00

When traders use butterfly on AMAU

Butterflies on AMAU are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AMAU to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

AMAU thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AMAU extends from approximately $10.50 on the downside to $20.04 on the upside. A AMAU long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if AMAU settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. As a Financial Services name, AMAU options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AMAU-specific events.

AMAU butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AMAU positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AMAU alongside the broader basket even when AMAU-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current AMAU chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on AMAU?
A butterfly on AMAU is the butterfly strategy applied to AMAU (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With AMAU stock at $15.27 on the September 29, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AMAU chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
How are AMAU butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the AMAU butterfly priced from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 109.00%), the computed maximum profit is $55.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$45.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a AMAU butterfly?
The breakeven for the AMAU butterfly priced on this page is roughly $15.55 at expiration, derived from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The AMAU market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 31.25%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on AMAU?
Butterflies on AMAU are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AMAU to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current AMAU implied volatility affect this butterfly?
Current AMAU ATM IV is 109.00%; IV rank context is unavailable in the current snapshot.

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