Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Snapshot as of May 8, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $4.42
- Expected Move
- 60.6%
- Implied High
- $7.10
- Implied Low
- $1.74
- Front DTE
- 41 days
As of May 8, 2026, Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) has an expected move of 60.64%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $1.74 to $7.10 from the current $4.42. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
Per-expiration expected move for ALTO derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $4.42 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 7 | 211.5% | 29.3% | $5.71 | $3.13 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 41 | 80.5% | 27.0% | $5.61 | $3.23 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 70 | 66.7% | 29.2% | $5.71 | $3.13 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 161 | 86.0% | 57.1% | $6.94 | $1.90 |