Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Snapshot as of May 8, 2026.

Spot Price
$4.42
Expected Move
60.6%
Implied High
$7.10
Implied Low
$1.74
Front DTE
41 days

As of May 8, 2026, Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) has an expected move of 60.64%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $1.74 to $7.10 from the current $4.42. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

Per-expiration expected move for ALTO derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $4.42 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
May 15, 20267211.5%29.3%$5.71$3.13
Jun 18, 20264180.5%27.0%$5.61$3.23
Jul 17, 20267066.7%29.2%$5.71$3.13
Oct 16, 202616186.0%57.1%$6.94$1.90