AGRO Butterfly Strategy
AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.), in the Consumer Defensive sector, (Agricultural Farm Products industry), listed on NYSE.
Adecoagro S.A. operates as an agro-industrial company in South America. It engages in farming crops and other agricultural products, dairy operations, and land transformation activities, as well as sugar, ethanol, and energy production activities. The company is involved in the planting, harvesting, and sale of grains and oilseeds, as well as wheat, corn, soybeans, peanuts, cotton, sunflowers, and others; provision of grain warehousing/conditioning, handling, and drying services to third parties; and purchase and sale of crops produced by third parties. It also plants, harvests, processes, and markets rice; and produces and sells raw milk, UHT, cheese, powder milk, and others. In addition, the company engages in the cultivating, processing, and transforming of sugarcane into ethanol and sugar; and the sale of electricity cogenerated at its sugar and ethanol mills to the grid. Further, it is involved in the identification and acquisition of underdeveloped and undermanaged farmland, and the realization of value through the strategic disposition of assets.
AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.) trades in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically Agricultural Farm Products, with a market capitalization of approximately $7.70B, a beta of -0.07 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 6.89-15.89, average daily share volume of 1.6M, a public-listing history dating back to 2011, approximately 9K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how AGRO stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of -0.07 indicates AGRO has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. AGRO pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on AGRO?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current AGRO snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $13.13, ATM IV 52.90%, IV rank 27.00%, expected move 15.17%. The butterfly on AGRO below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on AGRO specifically: AGRO IV at 52.90% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a AGRO butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 15.17% (roughly $1.99 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AGRO expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AGRO should anchor to the underlying notional of $13.13 per share and to the trader's directional view on AGRO stock.
AGRO butterfly setup
The AGRO butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AGRO near $13.13, the first option leg uses a $12.47 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AGRO chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AGRO shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $12.47 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $13.13 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $13.79 | N/A |
AGRO butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
AGRO butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on AGRO. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on AGRO
Butterflies on AGRO are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AGRO to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
AGRO thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AGRO extends from approximately $11.14 on the downside to $15.12 on the upside. A AGRO long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if AGRO settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current AGRO IV rank near 27.00% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on AGRO at 52.90%. As a Consumer Defensive name, AGRO options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AGRO-specific events.
AGRO butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AGRO positions also carry Consumer Defensive sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AGRO alongside the broader basket even when AGRO-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current AGRO chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on AGRO?
- A butterfly on AGRO is the butterfly strategy applied to AGRO (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With AGRO stock trading near $13.13, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AGRO chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are AGRO butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the AGRO butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 52.90%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a AGRO butterfly?
- The breakeven for the AGRO butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AGRO market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 15.17%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on AGRO?
- Butterflies on AGRO are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AGRO to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current AGRO implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- AGRO ATM IV is at 52.90% with IV rank near 27.00%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.