Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) IV/HV History
Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Insurance - Specialty industry, with a market capitalization near $3.33B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 361 people, carrying a beta of 0.81 to the broader market. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Led by Dominic John Frederico, public since 2004-04-23.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $74.82
- ATM IV
- 24.6%
- HV 20-Day
- 46.8%
- HV 60-Day
- 31.4%
- IV Rank
- 40.0%
- IV Percentile
- 43.7%
As of May 15, 2026, Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) ATM implied volatility is 24.6%. 20-day realized volatility is 46.8%, producing an IV-HV spread of -22.2 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 40.0%.
How AGO iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection
Strategy selection on Assured Guaranty Ltd. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 24.6% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.
Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked AGO iv/hv history questions
- Is AGO options pricing rich or cheap right now?
- As of May 15, 2026, Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) ATM IV is 24.6% against 20-day realized volatility of 46.8%. IV rank is 40.0%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
- What is the AGO variance risk premium?
- The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AGO is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
- What does AGO IV rank mean for strategy selection?
- IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AGO's current rank of 40.0% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.