AGCO Bear Put Spread Strategy
AGCO (AGCO Corporation), in the Industrials sector, (Agricultural - Machinery industry), listed on NYSE.
AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and related replacement parts worldwide. It offers horsepower tractors for row crop production, soil cultivation, planting, land leveling, seeding, and commercial hay operations; utility tractors for small- and medium-sized farms, as well as for dairy, livestock, orchards, and vineyards; and compact tractors for small farms, specialty agricultural industries, landscaping, equestrian, and residential uses. The company also provides grain storage bins and related drying and handling equipment systems; seed-processing systems; swine and poultry feed storage and delivery; ventilation and watering systems; and egg production systems and broiler production equipment. In addition, it offers round and rectangular balers, loader wagons, self-propelled windrowers, forage harvesters, disc mowers, spreaders, rakes, tedders, and mower conditioners for harvesting and packaging vegetative feeds used in the beef cattle, dairy, horse, and renewable fuel industries. Further, the company provides implements, including disc harrows leveling seed beds and mixing chemicals with the soils; heavy tillage to break up soil and mix crop residue into topsoil; field cultivators that prepare smooth seed bed and destroy weeds; drills for small grain seeding; planters and other planting equipment; and loaders. Additionally, it offers combines for harvesting grain crops, such as corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice; and application equipment, such as self-propelled, three- and four-wheeled vehicles, and related equipment for liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals, and for after crops emerge from the ground, as well as produces diesel engines, gears, and generating sets.
AGCO (AGCO Corporation) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Agricultural - Machinery, with a market capitalization of approximately $8.40B, a trailing P/E of 10.90, a beta of 1.12 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 95.96-143.78, average daily share volume of 729K, a public-listing history dating back to 1992, approximately 24K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how AGCO stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.12 places AGCO roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. The trailing P/E of 10.90 is on the value side, where IV often compresses outside event windows because forward growth expectations are already discounted into the share price. AGCO pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a bear put spread on AGCO?
A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width.
Current AGCO snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $113.68, ATM IV 37.40%, IV rank 38.53%, expected move 10.72%. The bear put spread on AGCO below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this bear put spread structure on AGCO specifically: AGCO IV at 37.40% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 10.72% (roughly $12.19 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AGCO expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AGCO should anchor to the underlying notional of $113.68 per share and to the trader's directional view on AGCO stock.
AGCO bear put spread setup
The AGCO bear put spread below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AGCO near $113.68, the first option leg uses a $115.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AGCO chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AGCO shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Put | $115.00 | $5.90 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $110.00 | $3.55 |
AGCO bear put spread risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$235.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $265.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$235.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $112.65
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.128
Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit.
AGCO bear put spread payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the bear put spread on AGCO. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$265.00 |
| $25.14 | -77.9% | +$265.00 |
| $50.28 | -55.8% | +$265.00 |
| $75.41 | -33.7% | +$265.00 |
| $100.55 | -11.6% | +$265.00 |
| $125.68 | +10.6% | -$235.00 |
| $150.82 | +32.7% | -$235.00 |
| $175.95 | +54.8% | -$235.00 |
| $201.08 | +76.9% | -$235.00 |
| $226.22 | +99.0% | -$235.00 |
When traders use bear put spread on AGCO
Bear put spreads on AGCO reduce the cost of a bearish AGCO stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.
AGCO thesis for this bear put spread
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AGCO extends from approximately $101.49 on the downside to $125.87 on the upside. A AGCO bear put spread caps both the risk and the reward of a bearish position; relative to an outright long put on AGCO, the spread reduces the cost basis but limits the maximum profit to the strike width minus net debit. Current AGCO IV rank near 38.53% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the bear put spread thesis on AGCO should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Industrials name, AGCO options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AGCO-specific events.
AGCO bear put spread positions are structurally moderately bearish; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AGCO positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AGCO alongside the broader basket even when AGCO-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Long-premium structures like a bear put spread on AGCO are particularly exposed to IV-crush risk through scheduled events (earnings, FDA decisions, central-bank meetings) where IV typically contracts post-event regardless of the directional outcome. Always rebuild the position from current AGCO chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a bear put spread on AGCO?
- A bear put spread on AGCO is the bear put spread strategy applied to AGCO (stock). The strategy is structurally moderately bearish: A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width. With AGCO stock trading near $113.68, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AGCO chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are AGCO bear put spread max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit. For the AGCO bear put spread priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 37.40%), the computed maximum profit is $265.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$235.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a AGCO bear put spread?
- The breakeven for the AGCO bear put spread priced on this page is roughly $112.65 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AGCO market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 10.72%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a bear put spread on AGCO?
- Bear put spreads on AGCO reduce the cost of a bearish AGCO stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.
- How does current AGCO implied volatility affect this bear put spread?
- AGCO ATM IV is at 37.40% with IV rank near 38.53%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.