AFG Iron Condor Strategy
AFG (American Financial Group, Inc.), in the Financial Services sector, (Insurance - Property & Casualty industry), listed on NYSE.
American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It offers property and transportation insurance products, such as physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property and specialty transportation coverages; specialty casualty insurance, including primarily excess and surplus, executive and professional liability, general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and specialty coverage in targeted markets, as well as customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers' compensation insurance; and specialty financial insurance products comprising risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety products, and trade credit insurance. The company sells its property and casualty insurance products through independent insurance agents and brokers. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
AFG (American Financial Group, Inc.) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Insurance - Property & Casualty, with a market capitalization of approximately $11.00B, a trailing P/E of 12.54, a beta of 0.64 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 120.52-150.02, average daily share volume of 615K, a public-listing history dating back to 1980, approximately 9K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how AFG stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.64 indicates AFG has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. AFG pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a iron condor on AFG?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
Current AFG snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $133.94, ATM IV 21.60%, IV rank 2.22%, expected move 6.19%. The iron condor on AFG below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on AFG specifically: AFG IV at 21.60% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which means a premium-selling AFG iron condor collects less credit per unit of strike-width risk, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 6.19% (roughly $8.29 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AFG expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AFG should anchor to the underlying notional of $133.94 per share and to the trader's directional view on AFG stock.
AFG iron condor setup
The AFG iron condor below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AFG near $133.94, the first option leg uses a $141.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AFG chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AFG shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $141.50 | $0.85 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $146.50 | $0.28 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $126.50 | $1.15 |
| Buy 1 | Put | $121.50 | $0.70 |
AFG iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$102.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $102.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$398.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $125.49, $142.50
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 0.256
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
AFG iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on AFG. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$398.00 |
| $29.62 | -77.9% | -$398.00 |
| $59.24 | -55.8% | -$398.00 |
| $88.85 | -33.7% | -$398.00 |
| $118.47 | -11.6% | -$398.00 |
| $148.08 | +10.6% | -$398.00 |
| $177.69 | +32.7% | -$398.00 |
| $207.31 | +54.8% | -$398.00 |
| $236.92 | +76.9% | -$398.00 |
| $266.53 | +99.0% | -$398.00 |
When traders use iron condor on AFG
Iron condors on AFG are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if AFG stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
AFG thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AFG extends from approximately $125.65 on the downside to $142.23 on the upside. A AFG iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when AFG stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current AFG IV rank near 2.22% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on AFG at 21.60%. As a Financial Services name, AFG options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AFG-specific events.
AFG iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AFG positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AFG alongside the broader basket even when AFG-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on AFG carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical AFG earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current AFG chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on AFG?
- A iron condor on AFG is the iron condor strategy applied to AFG (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With AFG stock trading near $133.94, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AFG chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are AFG iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the AFG iron condor priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 21.60%), the computed maximum profit is $102.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$398.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a AFG iron condor?
- The breakeven for the AFG iron condor priced on this page is roughly $125.49 and $142.50 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AFG market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 6.19%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on AFG?
- Iron condors on AFG are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if AFG stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current AFG implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- AFG ATM IV is at 21.60% with IV rank near 2.22%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.