AEO Options History — May 2016 In May 2016, AEO traded between $13.36 and $16.00. ATM implied volatility averaged 39.8%, placing in the 47.8% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 11.5%. IV traded below realized volatility by 3.3% (HV 20d: 43.1%). Max pain ranged from $14.00 to $15.00. Net GEX was positive for 10 of 21 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 4 of 21 days. Put/call ratio averaged 1.57.
Notable Days 2016-05-18 : Highest Volume — 24,872 contracts2016-05-19 : Largest IV drop — 35.9% change2016-05-18 : Highest IV Rank — 93.7%2016-05-18 : Largest Expected Move — 16.0%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $14.76 $13.36 $16.00 $14.59 $15.66 Max Pain $14.74 $14.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 ATM IV 39.8% 30.2% 55.6% 42.6% 31.5% Expected Move 11.5% 8.5% 16.0% 13.0% 9.0% HV 20d 43.1% 25.2% 69.8% 30.9% 67.6% HV 60d 33.7% 26.3% 44.9% 29.8% 44.3% IV Rank 47.8% 19.8% 93.7% 55.9% 23.6% IV Percentile 61.1% 19.8% 99.2% 78.2% 24.2% Term Structure -1.6% -7.5% 1.6% -2.2% -0.7% VWIV 39.8% 29.1% 54.0% 43.1% 32.2% Skew 25d 5.1% 2.1% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3% Skew 10d 12.7% -6.7% 27.5% 27.5% 6.0% Call IV 25d 37.7% 27.7% 53.1% 38.2% 31.7% Put IV 25d 42.8% 32.3% 57.3% 43.7% 35.1% Bid-Ask Spread % 35.81 15.33 89.71 16.50 31.36 Gamma HHI 0.18 0.13 0.44 0.20 0.17 Net GEX 133.0K -583.8K 1.5M -50.4K 331.2K Net DEX 1.5M -27.0M 23.7M 6.4M -7.3M Net VEX -169.4K -201.5K -142.3K -165.1K -181.7K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 1.57 0.79 2.34 0.84 2.30 Total Volume 10,706.238 5,910 24,872 7,074 6,870 Total OI 79,943 67,773 113,839 72,409 67,773
Daily Data (21 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2016-05-02 $14.59 $15.00 42.6% 13.0% 30.9% 55.9% 43.1% 5.4% -2.2% -50.4K 6.4M -165.1K 0.84 16.50 3,843 3,231 44,332 28,077 2016-05-03 $14.50 $15.00 41.8% 13.5% 30.2% 53.5% 46.0% 5.0% -1.6% -40.0K 7.0M -165.4K 0.85 23.30 3,323 2,833 45,370 28,160 2016-05-04 $14.62 $15.00 41.8% 13.8% 30.5% 53.6% 46.4% 7.3% -1.4% -112.7K 5.6M -168.5K 0.84 29.71 3,218 2,692 45,443 28,549 2016-05-05 $14.35 $15.00 42.0% 12.3% 26.7% 54.1% 40.9% 7.3% -1.6% -9.7K 8.0M -162.0K 2.11 24.23 3,108 6,559 45,555 28,649 2016-05-06 $14.50 $15.00 42.9% 12.1% 26.9% 56.7% 41.4% 6.8% -3.1% -32.4K 9.1M -167.9K 1.53 19.25 4,155 6,363 45,988 32,502 2016-05-09 $14.66 $15.00 42.4% 11.3% 27.2% 55.1% 39.3% 5.2% -2.7% 68.7K 3.3M -169.6K 0.83 19.62 5,879 4,862 46,599 30,201 2016-05-10 $14.36 $15.00 42.0% 11.7% 27.8% 54.0% 40.0% 6.4% -0.9% 14.6K 6.6M -161.2K 1.48 15.33 2,425 3,586 46,465 29,677 2016-05-11 $13.89 $15.00 43.8% 12.3% 26.0% 59.2% 43.9% 7.5% -1.3% -136.5K 12.7M -143.4K 1.24 68.32 4,651 5,785 46,271 31,087 2016-05-12 $13.93 $15.00 44.2% 12.3% 25.2% 60.5% 42.8% 7.4% -1.1% -91.5K 11.5M -150.1K 1.06 20.65 3,502 3,698 47,901 32,074 2016-05-13 $13.85 $15.00 44.5% 12.3% 25.2% 61.4% 42.5% 4.3% -2.0% -101.6K 13.2M -150.1K 0.79 33.71 5,419 4,266 48,555 32,785 2016-05-16 $14.12 $15.00 46.8% 13.4% 26.0% 68.1% 45.0% 5.1% -3.7% -106.4K 10.0M -148.8K 1.87 46.13 6,463 12,069 46,526 33,354 2016-05-17 $13.92 $15.00 50.2% 14.3% 26.1% 77.9% 49.4% 5.9% -5.8% -321.6K 14.4M -149.2K 2.25 32.44 5,400 12,167 47,207 38,457 2016-05-18 $13.36 $14.00 55.6% 16.0% 28.5% 93.7% 54.0% 4.2% -7.5% -583.8K 23.7M -142.3K 2.34 85.05 7,453 17,419 50,601 47,265 2016-05-19 $15.85 $14.00 35.6% 10.1% 69.8% 35.6% 39.0% 4.2% 0.8% 875.3K -26.0M -201.5K 0.92 24.00 10,132 9,353 56,110 57,307 2016-05-20 $16.00 $14.00 32.6% 9.3% 69.8% 26.9% 33.8% 2.1% -0.0% 1.5M -27.0M -200.5K 1.78 89.71 4,391 7,797 56,337 57,502 2016-05-23 $15.73 $14.00 32.6% 9.3% 68.8% 26.8% 32.5% 3.8% 1.6% 402.3K -10.9M -195.6K 2.03 17.48 2,672 5,434 41,688 28,175 2016-05-24 $15.59 $14.00 31.5% 8.8% 68.9% 23.7% 32.6% 2.9% 0.4% 368.5K -8.7M -185.2K 2.16 37.27 2,824 6,105 41,975 28,445 2016-05-25 $15.34 $14.50 30.9% 8.5% 68.3% 21.8% 31.4% 3.8% 0.1% 250.7K -5.3M -179.2K 1.91 26.31 3,162 6,044 42,155 29,263 2016-05-26 $15.42 $15.00 30.2% 8.7% 68.0% 19.8% 30.6% 2.1% -0.4% 296.9K -6.5M -185.5K 1.92 35.80 2,711 5,192 42,451 29,557 2016-05-27 $15.64 $15.00 30.9% 8.6% 67.7% 21.8% 29.1% 5.8% -0.1% 310.0K -8.6M -184.5K 1.97 55.91 2,616 5,159 42,790 29,625 2016-05-31 $15.66 $15.00 31.5% 9.0% 67.6% 23.6% 32.2% 3.3% -0.7% 331.2K -7.3M -181.7K 2.30 31.36 2,079 4,791 40,946 26,827
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