AEO Options History — February 2015

In February 2015, AEO traded between $13.96 and $15.00. ATM implied volatility averaged 40.9%, placing in the 18.0% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 11.7%. IV traded above realized volatility by 11.3% (HV 20d: 29.5%). Max pain ranged from $13.00 to $15.00. Net GEX was positive for 6 of 19 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 8 of 19 days. Put/call ratio averaged 2.20.

Notable Days

  • 2015-02-24: Highest Volume — 9,627 contracts
  • 2015-02-09: Largest IV spike — 15.6% change
  • 2015-02-11: Highest IV Rank — 24.5%
  • 2015-02-26: Largest Expected Move — 12.8%

Monthly Statistics

MetricAvgMinMaxOpenClose
Price$14.65$13.96$15.00$13.96$14.99
Max Pain$14.68$13.00$15.00$13.00$15.00
ATM IV40.9%34.0%45.9%36.2%41.1%
Expected Move11.7%9.2%12.8%10.1%12.5%
HV 20d29.5%24.1%39.3%37.3%26.0%
HV 60d46.6%44.2%52.6%52.4%44.5%
IV Rank18.0%9.2%24.5%12.1%18.4%
IV Percentile64.7%31.7%80.6%43.7%68.3%
Term Structure0.7%-5.2%8.8%8.8%-2.6%
VWIV41.2%34.1%46.2%35.1%46.2%
Skew 25d4.5%2.3%6.7%4.9%6.7%
Skew 10d10.4%0.0%21.5%20.3%15.7%
Call IV 25d38.9%31.7%43.5%33.7%38.3%
Put IV 25d43.4%35.5%48.2%38.5%45.0%
Bid-Ask Spread %15.1511.3821.8816.8221.88
Gamma HHI0.210.170.260.190.17
Net GEX-88.9K-449.2K105.1K-214.0K-22.6K
Net DEX-11.4M-17.6M-3.8M-3.8M-13.5M
Net VEX-161.7K-166.6K-155.5K-161.2K-161.0K
Div Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
P/C Ratio2.200.243.590.242.44
Total Volume6,9808289,6278288,244
Total OI73,689.63264,83579,11473,10869,283

Daily Data (19 trading days)

DatePriceMax PainATM IVExp MoveHV 20dIV RankVWIVSkew 25dTerm StrGEXDEXVEXP/CSpread %Call VolPut VolCall OIPut OI
2015-02-02$13.96$13.0036.2%10.1%37.3%12.1%35.1%4.9%8.8%-214.0K-3.8M-161.2K0.2416.8266616234,55038,558
2015-02-03$14.46$13.0034.0%9.2%39.2%9.2%34.2%4.2%7.5%-85.5K-10.8M-164.7K2.2315.071,9664,38135,01638,658
2015-02-04$14.64$13.0035.0%9.3%39.3%10.6%34.1%2.8%7.1%15.7K-13.9M-165.1K2.7219.902,0635,60435,19838,872
2015-02-05$14.55$15.0035.4%11.8%35.6%11.1%40.8%4.8%8.6%-51.6K-12.2M-166.3K2.4812.902,1305,28935,34640,056
2015-02-06$14.61$15.0037.0%11.6%30.8%13.1%40.6%3.8%8.7%-16.5K-13.0M-166.6K2.2011.642,3185,10335,55240,197
2015-02-09$14.52$15.0042.8%12.1%30.7%20.5%42.7%4.5%-2.6%-36.3K-11.2M-164.1K2.6411.382,3776,27735,10939,448
2015-02-10$15.00$15.0042.0%11.9%31.5%19.6%40.8%4.9%-1.6%101.4K-17.6M-165.0K3.0812.382,1186,53135,26040,179
2015-02-11$14.74$15.0045.9%12.0%32.3%24.5%41.1%4.2%-3.7%45.1K-14.3M-163.1K3.5912.971,7436,26035,58740,463
2015-02-12$14.80$15.0044.0%11.8%31.7%22.0%41.2%4.6%-3.2%105.1K-14.8M-162.0K3.0115.861,9515,87735,66540,629
2015-02-13$14.69$15.0043.9%11.6%26.0%21.9%40.7%4.4%-5.2%73.6K-12.8M-160.6K2.7017.072,0985,65535,74940,951
2015-02-17$14.51$15.0041.9%11.9%26.0%19.4%41.9%5.9%0.7%-66.6K-10.1M-156.4K3.1716.832,1416,78635,41940,059
2015-02-18$14.50$15.0044.3%12.7%25.4%22.5%42.0%5.7%-2.5%-172.6K-9.4M-156.0K2.5817.532,1575,56835,71541,462
2015-02-19$14.46$15.0043.6%12.6%24.7%21.5%41.2%3.8%-2.4%-449.2K-8.4M-155.5K0.6814.091,39294235,77841,761
2015-02-20$14.76$15.0040.6%11.6%24.1%17.8%43.0%5.6%0.3%-416.5K-12.6M-160.2K0.3713.781,81166936,73442,380
2015-02-23$14.64$15.0042.6%12.7%24.3%20.2%43.4%2.3%0.1%-296.4K-7.3M-159.0K1.9413.172,0603,98729,65135,184
2015-02-24$15.00$15.0041.4%11.9%25.5%18.8%43.2%2.7%-1.6%-161.4K-12.0M-159.9K0.9518.544,9394,68830,06235,414
2015-02-25$14.81$15.0042.1%12.2%26.0%19.7%45.0%3.8%-1.7%31.9K-10.7M-161.6K1.4313.843,2584,65033,10136,578
2015-02-26$14.65$15.0042.3%12.8%24.8%19.8%45.0%5.5%-2.2%-72.0K-7.8M-163.5K3.2712.172,0526,70733,55636,923
2015-02-27$14.99$15.0041.1%12.5%26.0%18.4%46.2%6.7%-2.6%-22.6K-13.5M-161.0K2.4421.882,3935,85133,62235,661