AEO Options History — August 2013 In August 2013, AEO traded between $14.47 and $20.05. ATM implied volatility averaged 30.8%, placing in the 33.3% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 9.4%. IV traded below realized volatility by 18.3% (HV 20d: 49.2%). Max pain ranged from $17.00 to $20.00. Net GEX was positive for 19 of 22 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 8 of 22 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.94.
Notable Days 2013-08-06 : Highest Volume — 20,655 contracts2013-08-15 : Largest IV spike — 66.0% change2013-08-20 : Highest IV Rank — 60.8%2013-08-20 : Largest Expected Move — 11.2%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $16.46 $14.47 $20.05 $19.92 $14.47 Max Pain $17.95 $17.00 $20.00 $19.00 $17.00 ATM IV 30.8% 20.6% 39.1% 27.7% 33.9% Expected Move 9.4% 7.7% 11.2% 7.9% 9.7% HV 20d 49.2% 12.8% 62.6% 15.2% 60.3% HV 60d 34.3% 20.4% 40.3% 20.4% 40.0% IV Rank 33.3% 0.0% 60.8% 22.1% 43.8% IV Percentile 51.4% 0.0% 89.7% 16.3% 77.8% Term Structure -0.5% -3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 0.5% VWIV 32.6% 27.0% 37.7% 29.1% 32.2% Skew 25d 3.0% 0.4% 8.5% 3.1% 8.5% Skew 10d 6.1% -13.0% 17.2% 15.9% 17.2% Call IV 25d 31.7% 26.6% 35.5% 28.0% 26.9% Put IV 25d 34.6% 29.5% 38.7% 31.2% 35.5% Bid-Ask Spread % 12.42 7.50 30.72 17.54 9.51 Gamma HHI 0.15 0.11 0.20 0.19 0.14 Net GEX 139.5K -294.4K 809.3K 616.2K 94.5K Net DEX 12.8M -15.8M 25.9M -11.9M 12.8M Net VEX -136.1K -212.9K -98.6K -209.0K -104.3K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.94 0.18 3.18 0.40 0.36 Total Volume 4,321.045 731 20,655 4,091 1,420 Total OI 75,322.909 58,372 84,329 69,988 77,444
Daily Data (22 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2013-08-01 $19.92 $19.00 27.7% 7.9% 15.2% 22.1% 29.1% 3.1% 4.4% 616.2K -11.9M -209.0K 0.40 17.54 2,923 1,168 43,433 26,555 2013-08-02 $20.05 $19.00 26.9% 7.7% 15.0% 19.6% 27.0% 2.9% 4.3% 809.3K -15.8M -212.9K 1.92 30.72 699 1,343 44,732 27,225 2013-08-05 $19.97 $20.00 31.0% 9.4% 12.8% 33.4% 33.0% 3.9% -2.7% 575.1K -12.6M -211.9K 0.49 14.56 976 483 45,203 28,258 2013-08-06 $17.57 $20.00 30.7% 9.3% 48.0% 32.2% 32.4% 3.5% -2.6% -294.4K 25.9M -137.7K 1.07 15.03 9,986 10,669 45,692 28,625 2013-08-07 $16.90 $19.00 31.1% 9.6% 49.5% 33.5% 32.7% 1.3% -1.9% 27.0K 20.8M -142.5K 1.11 15.69 1,274 1,414 52,016 28,944 2013-08-08 $17.04 $18.00 28.0% 9.7% 49.5% 23.3% 33.8% 2.8% -1.9% 90.3K 20.0M -149.0K 0.84 10.06 1,083 907 52,346 29,437 2013-08-09 $16.86 $18.00 24.5% 9.7% 49.5% 11.5% 34.7% 3.5% -2.0% 88.7K 21.6M -141.1K 0.49 11.60 1,275 624 52,697 29,884 2013-08-12 $16.84 $18.00 28.6% 9.9% 49.4% 25.2% 34.0% 3.3% -2.6% 73.0K 22.2M -139.7K 0.49 9.89 1,115 541 52,990 30,201 2013-08-13 $17.08 $18.00 31.0% 9.7% 49.7% 33.3% 34.0% 1.9% -1.8% 177.8K 18.8M -150.6K 1.00 10.59 928 930 53,521 30,139 2013-08-14 $16.89 $18.00 20.6% 9.7% 49.7% 0.0% 33.7% 2.7% -1.1% 195.7K 21.9M -140.8K 3.18 10.86 175 556 53,725 30,604 2013-08-15 $16.54 $18.00 34.2% 9.8% 50.0% 44.7% 34.9% 3.8% -1.5% 27.0K 24.3M -132.1K 2.29 9.55 643 1,472 53,425 30,297 2013-08-16 $16.30 $18.00 35.2% 10.1% 50.1% 48.3% 34.9% 1.7% -1.6% -168.6K 25.5M -129.0K 0.76 8.99 1,970 1,490 53,565 30,646 2013-08-19 $16.00 $18.00 35.8% 10.3% 49.6% 50.2% 34.2% 3.7% -2.0% 6.1K 12.2M -120.8K 0.86 10.18 1,739 1,490 38,004 20,368 2013-08-20 $16.38 $18.00 39.1% 11.2% 50.7% 60.8% 37.7% 3.2% -3.9% 98.5K 8.7M -137.9K 0.36 8.06 7,937 2,861 39,191 21,328 2013-08-21 $14.76 $17.00 32.1% 9.2% 61.0% 37.8% 32.9% 1.7% -0.4% -31.2K 19.3M -98.6K 1.91 12.10 5,517 10,526 45,431 22,926 2013-08-22 $15.21 $17.00 32.1% 9.2% 62.6% 38.1% 31.6% 3.6% -0.4% 156.3K 8.4M -116.1K 0.41 16.08 3,941 1,623 49,322 19,715 2013-08-23 $14.78 $17.00 30.9% 8.9% 62.6% 34.1% 31.3% 2.9% 0.3% 94.2K 11.3M -103.9K 1.36 12.34 966 1,313 50,517 20,632 2013-08-26 $14.76 $17.00 30.2% 8.7% 62.5% 31.7% 27.9% 0.4% 1.6% 100.3K 11.6M -101.1K 0.33 11.77 3,004 978 50,839 21,001 2013-08-27 $14.61 $17.00 32.5% 9.3% 61.9% 39.2% 32.0% 0.8% 1.4% 116.4K 11.9M -104.6K 0.43 12.56 2,046 873 52,823 21,204 2013-08-28 $14.65 $17.00 31.6% 9.1% 61.6% 36.4% 31.7% 3.3% 1.0% 113.0K 12.0M -106.9K 0.53 7.50 672 359 54,210 21,684 2013-08-29 $14.58 $17.00 30.9% 8.9% 60.8% 34.1% 31.4% 2.6% 2.0% 104.4K 12.5M -104.1K 0.18 8.04 2,679 475 54,377 21,928 2013-08-30 $14.47 $17.00 33.9% 9.7% 60.3% 43.8% 32.2% 8.5% 0.5% 94.5K 12.8M -104.3K 0.36 9.51 1,045 375 55,224 22,220
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