AEO Options History — May 2013 In May 2013, AEO traded between $18.73 and $20.48. ATM implied volatility averaged 33.7%, placing in the 42.3% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 10.0%. IV traded above realized volatility by 9.8% (HV 20d: 23.8%). Max pain ranged from $20.00 to $22.00. Net GEX was positive for 13 of 22 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 8 of 22 days. Put/call ratio averaged 1.90.
Notable Days 2013-05-22 : Highest Volume — 10,207 contracts2013-05-09 : Largest IV drop — 26.4% change2013-05-08 : Highest IV Rank — 77.1%2013-05-21 : Largest Expected Move — 11.5%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $19.70 $18.73 $20.48 $18.73 $19.79 Max Pain $21.05 $20.00 $22.00 $20.00 $21.00 ATM IV 33.7% 28.5% 44.1% 33.9% 29.9% Expected Move 10.0% 8.4% 11.5% 9.7% 8.6% HV 20d 23.8% 19.9% 29.5% 29.5% 19.9% HV 60d 34.8% 25.4% 36.2% 36.2% 25.4% IV Rank 42.3% 25.0% 77.1% 43.1% 29.5% IV Percentile 49.9% 11.5% 93.3% 57.1% 27.4% Term Structure -1.8% -5.4% 4.2% 2.6% -0.5% VWIV 35.1% 29.2% 40.2% 33.9% 30.0% Skew 25d 3.4% 0.7% 5.4% 3.7% 0.7% Skew 10d 8.9% -8.3% 18.4% 13.0% -0.7% Call IV 25d 33.5% 27.6% 37.6% 32.8% 29.3% Put IV 25d 36.8% 30.0% 42.0% 36.5% 30.0% Bid-Ask Spread % 21.55 9.39 31.41 29.75 24.55 Gamma HHI 0.25 0.15 0.74 0.25 0.16 Net GEX 512.2K -534.5K 7.6M -405.7K 566.3K Net DEX -1.7M -14.5M 15.9M 15.9M -6.8M Net VEX -266.2K -276.3K -253.1K -253.1K -272.5K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 1.90 0.07 7.77 4.39 0.76 Total Volume 3,224.955 406 10,207 5,037 818 Total OI 82,129 63,305 95,553 83,748 73,636
Daily Data (22 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2013-05-01 $18.73 $20.00 33.9% 9.7% 29.5% 43.1% 33.9% 3.7% 2.6% -405.7K 15.9M -253.1K 4.39 29.75 934 4,103 47,396 36,352 2013-05-02 $18.87 $20.00 32.9% 9.4% 28.7% 39.8% 33.6% 2.6% 4.2% -329.6K 13.3M -256.9K 0.85 24.66 1,961 1,669 47,871 36,229 2013-05-03 $19.01 $20.00 34.1% 9.8% 28.7% 43.8% 34.5% 2.2% 3.5% -272.2K 11.0M -264.6K 7.33 27.32 517 3,788 47,929 36,891 2013-05-06 $19.17 $22.00 36.8% 10.8% 28.5% 52.6% 37.5% 4.2% -3.9% -517.8K 11.2M -266.0K 0.25 31.41 787 200 48,050 40,197 2013-05-07 $19.37 $22.00 36.8% 10.8% 28.2% 52.8% 38.0% 4.3% -4.1% -420.7K 6.6M -270.6K 1.09 25.30 734 801 48,387 40,297 2013-05-08 $19.45 $22.00 44.1% 11.4% 27.4% 77.1% 40.2% 4.7% -5.3% -349.5K 5.4M -271.4K 5.42 21.97 1,394 7,552 48,357 40,976 2013-05-09 $19.57 $22.00 32.5% 10.8% 26.2% 38.2% 37.1% 4.6% -4.4% -534.5K 2.6M -271.9K 1.96 18.69 1,336 2,614 49,362 45,069 2013-05-10 $19.75 $21.00 28.5% 10.7% 24.6% 25.0% 39.4% 5.4% -3.3% -95.2K -2.5M -275.2K 7.77 17.80 611 4,746 49,358 43,876 2013-05-13 $19.62 $21.00 34.3% 10.9% 24.3% 44.3% 38.6% 5.4% -3.7% -315.7K 879.7K -266.3K 1.37 16.00 171 235 49,486 45,602 2013-05-14 $20.08 $21.00 32.5% 10.9% 25.2% 38.3% 38.1% 4.6% -4.1% 758.6K -11.5M -267.6K 1.31 15.68 407 533 49,589 45,505 2013-05-15 $19.90 $21.00 30.6% 11.1% 22.8% 32.1% 38.2% 3.2% -4.4% 766.2K -8.2M -262.6K 2.20 9.39 400 881 49,742 45,358 2013-05-16 $19.81 $21.00 38.3% 11.0% 20.8% 57.6% 38.0% 4.7% -4.5% 1.2M -5.7M -257.0K 2.12 16.42 206 437 49,621 45,688 2013-05-17 $20.05 $21.00 38.2% 11.0% 20.8% 57.5% 38.1% 3.9% -4.9% 7.6M -14.5M -256.3K 0.07 25.11 6,349 429 49,712 45,841 2013-05-20 $20.21 $21.00 39.7% 11.4% 20.9% 62.3% 39.4% 3.7% -4.5% 297.6K -6.7M -260.0K 0.98 14.30 689 677 37,408 25,897 2013-05-21 $20.31 $21.00 40.0% 11.5% 20.3% 63.4% 39.6% 2.7% -5.4% 324.5K -8.1M -260.9K 0.54 16.84 4,120 2,213 37,876 26,391 2013-05-22 $20.48 $21.00 29.6% 8.5% 20.3% 28.8% 29.7% 2.4% 0.6% 476.0K -11.9M -270.2K 0.89 22.55 5,408 4,799 40,474 27,321 2013-05-23 $20.10 $21.00 29.8% 8.5% 21.2% 29.4% 30.2% 2.8% 0.2% 512.7K -8.3M -274.6K 0.14 22.18 1,831 254 42,548 26,072 2013-05-24 $20.01 $21.00 29.9% 8.6% 21.3% 29.5% 29.2% 2.9% -0.4% 522.6K -7.5M -276.3K 0.17 23.44 1,929 333 43,631 26,061 2013-05-28 $19.95 $21.00 29.2% 8.4% 21.3% 27.3% 29.7% 1.0% 0.9% 540.9K -6.9M -272.9K 1.21 25.05 388 471 45,171 26,190 2013-05-29 $19.35 $21.00 29.8% 8.5% 23.4% 29.2% 29.7% 1.8% 0.9% 382.7K 838.8K -257.0K 0.25 23.00 1,770 441 45,292 26,577 2013-05-30 $19.76 $21.00 29.4% 8.4% 20.0% 28.2% 30.6% 2.6% 0.0% 549.0K -5.6M -271.8K 0.72 22.58 588 425 46,673 26,879 2013-05-31 $19.79 $21.00 29.9% 8.6% 19.9% 29.5% 30.0% 0.7% -0.5% 566.3K -6.8M -272.5K 0.76 24.55 464 354 46,688 26,948
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