AEO Options History — October 2009 In October 2009, AEO traded between $16.07 and $19.62. ATM implied volatility averaged 44.0%, placing in the 14.9% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 12.5%. IV traded above realized volatility by 4.6% (HV 20d: 39.4%). Max pain ranged from $15.00 to $17.50. Net GEX was positive for 22 of 22 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 17 of 22 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.58.
Notable Days 2009-10-08 : Highest Volume — 14,610 contracts2009-10-14 : Largest IV spike — 65.6% change2009-10-30 : Highest IV Rank — 23.4%2009-10-02 : Largest Expected Move — 14.4%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $18.24 $16.07 $19.62 $16.14 $17.49 Max Pain $15.23 $15.00 $17.50 $15.00 $17.50 ATM IV 44.0% 27.1% 54.6% 49.8% 49.6% Expected Move 12.5% 11.1% 14.4% 14.3% 14.2% HV 20d 39.4% 31.5% 47.0% 40.1% 47.0% HV 60d 41.0% 38.6% 43.0% 39.0% 42.0% IV Rank 14.9% 0.0% 23.4% 16.2% 23.4% IV Percentile 14.5% 0.0% 35.3% 25.0% 31.0% Term Structure 1.1% -2.2% 4.1% -2.2% -1.2% VWIV 44.4% 39.0% 50.9% 49.6% 49.5% Skew 25d 4.4% 1.4% 9.3% 1.4% 3.0% Skew 10d 7.8% -7.6% 26.7% 1.1% 10.6% Call IV 25d 41.9% 36.8% 48.8% 47.8% 48.8% Put IV 25d 46.4% 41.5% 51.9% 49.2% 51.9% Bid-Ask Spread % 10.93 5.27 17.66 11.54 15.21 Gamma HHI 0.51 0.38 0.70 0.67 0.46 Net GEX 671.4K 449.5K 977.9K 507.2K 449.5K Net DEX -32.9M -57.0M -13.6M -13.6M -16.5M Net VEX -112.2K -122.5K -100.5K -113.7K -122.5K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.58 0.09 3.43 0.39 0.55 Total Volume 5,407.591 1,088 14,610 4,954 3,972 Total OI 63,781.273 57,071 74,868 57,071 68,441
Daily Data (22 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2009-10-01 $16.14 $15.00 49.8% 14.3% 40.1% 16.2% 49.6% 1.4% -2.2% 507.2K -13.6M -113.7K 0.39 11.54 3,570 1,384 35,380 21,691 2009-10-02 $16.07 $15.00 50.1% 14.4% 31.5% 16.5% 49.2% 4.3% -2.1% 578.8K -14.5M -113.9K 0.83 12.43 595 493 37,304 21,995 2009-10-05 $16.51 $15.00 52.3% 13.6% 32.4% 18.7% 49.7% 4.7% -1.0% 655.6K -19.4M -113.3K 0.16 16.06 3,050 480 37,536 22,165 2009-10-06 $16.82 $15.00 50.5% 13.1% 32.7% 16.9% 47.0% 5.5% 0.1% 769.3K -25.3M -115.8K 0.18 17.66 2,213 403 39,416 22,560 2009-10-07 $16.66 $15.00 54.6% 13.5% 32.1% 21.1% 50.9% 5.4% -1.8% 742.5K -23.1M -114.4K 0.85 7.70 4,388 3,712 38,909 22,735 2009-10-08 $18.14 $15.00 43.1% 12.6% 43.1% 9.3% 41.8% 6.7% 1.1% 830.2K -41.7M -104.3K 0.33 8.18 11,025 3,585 39,074 22,987 2009-10-09 $18.36 $15.00 40.1% 12.7% 39.1% 6.2% 42.4% 4.5% 1.3% 705.2K -40.2M -107.6K 0.46 16.73 1,475 676 38,065 24,007 2009-10-12 $18.79 $15.00 49.1% 12.0% 39.5% 15.6% 43.5% 5.8% 1.6% 620.4K -43.7M -105.1K 0.09 14.47 8,772 763 38,127 24,384 2009-10-13 $18.88 $15.00 27.1% 12.0% 39.1% 0.0% 43.5% 4.5% 0.7% 496.8K -51.0M -100.5K 0.13 13.31 3,112 414 40,766 24,466 2009-10-14 $19.22 $15.00 44.9% 12.1% 38.9% 18.5% 42.6% 4.3% 0.7% 764.8K -52.7M -100.8K 0.13 9.60 7,629 1,008 42,161 24,805 2009-10-15 $19.35 $15.00 41.7% 12.0% 38.9% 15.1% 42.8% 4.1% 1.0% 977.9K -55.6M -105.3K 0.36 9.86 4,971 1,776 46,682 25,295 2009-10-16 $19.45 $15.00 41.1% 11.8% 38.9% 14.5% 41.3% 2.9% 1.9% 731.5K -57.0M -104.1K 0.26 6.47 6,151 1,608 48,210 26,658 2009-10-19 $19.62 $15.00 39.9% 11.4% 38.8% 13.2% 39.7% 3.6% 3.4% 626.8K -37.4M -104.9K 0.36 10.05 2,955 1,075 34,340 22,867 2009-10-20 $19.32 $15.00 39.1% 11.2% 39.6% 12.4% 39.1% 4.0% 4.1% 641.6K -34.2M -112.4K 0.33 14.31 2,670 894 35,145 23,603 2009-10-21 $19.00 $15.00 39.4% 11.3% 39.8% 12.7% 39.6% 2.5% 2.7% 690.8K -32.6M -115.8K 0.25 6.81 1,633 406 36,699 24,298 2009-10-22 $19.51 $15.00 38.9% 11.1% 40.4% 12.2% 39.0% 3.6% 3.4% 767.9K -37.5M -114.8K 0.25 12.76 2,999 744 37,380 24,393 2009-10-23 $19.03 $15.00 40.0% 11.5% 41.5% 13.4% 42.1% 2.9% 3.3% 784.8K -33.6M -117.5K 2.32 5.27 1,250 2,897 38,721 24,865 2009-10-26 $18.82 $15.00 41.3% 11.8% 41.6% 14.7% 50.6% 9.3% 2.2% 692.4K -30.3M -122.4K 3.43 7.31 1,958 6,721 39,163 27,003 2009-10-27 $18.37 $15.00 44.9% 12.9% 42.7% 18.5% 43.6% 4.4% 1.3% 620.9K -24.9M -121.5K 0.69 5.93 2,019 1,389 39,677 26,450 2009-10-28 $17.58 $15.00 45.9% 13.2% 45.9% 19.5% 45.9% 3.5% 1.7% 466.7K -16.7M -118.6K 0.38 12.14 2,619 997 39,882 26,632 2009-10-29 $18.22 $17.50 45.7% 13.1% 44.0% 19.3% 42.7% 7.0% 1.7% 648.3K -23.6M -119.9K 0.12 6.64 7,607 909 41,281 26,970 2009-10-30 $17.49 $17.50 49.6% 14.2% 47.0% 23.4% 49.5% 3.0% -1.2% 449.5K -16.5M -122.5K 0.55 15.21 2,566 1,406 40,992 27,449
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