AEO Options History — May 2009 In May 2009, AEO traded between $13.59 and $15.53. ATM implied volatility averaged 60.6%, placing in the 29.1% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 17.8%. IV traded below realized volatility by 2.8% (HV 20d: 63.4%). Max pain ranged from $12.50 to $15.00. Net GEX was positive for 20 of 20 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 3 of 20 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.75.
Notable Days 2009-05-07 : Highest Volume — 9,983 contracts2009-05-14 : Largest IV spike — 23.2% change2009-05-06 : Highest IV Rank — 35.4%2009-05-13 : Largest Expected Move — 19.4%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $14.37 $13.59 $15.53 $14.47 $14.81 Max Pain $14.88 $12.50 $15.00 $12.50 $15.00 ATM IV 60.6% 50.9% 66.4% 59.3% 50.9% Expected Move 17.8% 14.6% 19.4% 17.0% 14.6% HV 20d 63.4% 55.5% 75.6% 68.5% 60.0% HV 60d 66.3% 63.0% 68.1% 65.7% 65.2% IV Rank 29.1% 18.9% 35.4% 28.3% 18.9% IV Percentile 37.7% 11.5% 56.0% 34.9% 11.5% Term Structure -3.3% -6.8% 5.5% 5.5% 1.1% VWIV 62.2% 50.8% 68.3% 60.1% 50.8% Skew 25d 8.0% 2.2% 11.7% 2.2% 5.8% Skew 10d 18.1% -2.8% 35.7% 0.6% 10.9% Call IV 25d 59.6% 50.4% 65.0% 62.0% 50.4% Put IV 25d 67.6% 56.2% 73.8% 64.2% 56.2% Bid-Ask Spread % 12.51 6.71 21.37 8.64 8.27 Gamma HHI 0.31 0.27 0.36 0.33 0.29 Net GEX 276.6K 131.7K 496.6K 360.8K 167.1K Net DEX -17.0M -34.8M -4.9M -23.3M -8.2M Net VEX -114.2K -123.7K -104.9K -118.0K -123.7K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.75 0.06 3.67 0.75 0.42 Total Volume 3,247.8 781 9,983 850 2,759 Total OI 59,573.2 45,846 72,896 63,743 53,244
Daily Data (20 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2009-05-01 $14.47 $12.50 59.3% 17.0% 68.5% 28.3% 60.1% 2.2% 5.5% 360.8K -23.3M -118.0K 0.75 8.64 485 365 41,454 22,289 2009-05-04 $14.95 $15.00 64.5% 18.6% 68.8% 33.5% 63.6% 11.0% -5.8% 355.9K -27.3M -118.3K 0.06 11.64 4,556 289 41,536 22,517 2009-05-05 $15.50 $15.00 64.9% 18.8% 68.3% 33.9% 63.3% 10.7% -5.9% 496.6K -34.6M -121.7K 0.45 16.44 1,096 491 44,595 22,499 2009-05-06 $15.53 $15.00 66.4% 18.8% 63.6% 35.4% 63.9% 11.7% -5.3% 494.1K -34.8M -121.2K 0.69 16.08 1,612 1,111 44,563 22,608 2009-05-07 $13.94 $15.00 60.3% 19.1% 75.6% 29.3% 68.3% 10.2% -5.8% 475.3K -19.3M -113.2K 0.51 11.72 6,614 3,369 45,053 23,225 2009-05-08 $14.13 $15.00 61.8% 18.5% 64.7% 30.8% 64.7% 10.1% -4.8% 490.7K -21.0M -118.8K 0.40 12.90 3,698 1,497 46,179 24,496 2009-05-11 $14.85 $15.00 63.3% 18.9% 67.0% 32.3% 67.2% 9.2% -6.4% 421.7K -27.7M -120.1K 0.46 21.37 2,501 1,150 45,209 25,366 2009-05-12 $14.61 $15.00 60.4% 19.2% 66.3% 29.4% 67.1% 9.6% -6.8% 398.2K -26.1M -117.3K 0.06 14.90 2,589 154 45,272 24,870 2009-05-13 $13.86 $15.00 53.1% 19.4% 69.2% 22.1% 68.2% 8.1% -6.7% 175.9K -20.0M -109.0K 0.78 14.39 738 575 46,275 24,945 2009-05-14 $13.99 $15.00 65.4% 18.8% 65.5% 34.4% 65.5% 9.2% -4.6% 178.8K -20.7M -109.5K 1.60 11.19 889 1,418 46,543 24,912 2009-05-15 $13.85 $15.00 62.2% 17.8% 62.5% 30.3% 65.9% 9.1% -2.4% 131.7K -19.1M -111.2K 1.57 11.03 853 1,340 46,768 26,128 2009-05-18 $14.26 $15.00 61.9% 17.7% 59.8% 30.0% 61.7% 7.4% -4.0% 181.3K -8.6M -113.7K 0.29 15.42 607 174 29,511 16,335 2009-05-19 $14.20 $15.00 58.9% 16.9% 57.4% 27.0% 60.7% 8.9% -2.2% 182.1K -8.0M -110.7K 0.45 9.83 1,032 466 29,707 16,420 2009-05-20 $13.99 $15.00 59.6% 17.1% 57.3% 27.7% 60.1% 8.4% -2.9% 159.6K -6.6M -108.0K 0.42 14.96 1,583 664 29,491 16,586 2009-05-21 $13.59 $15.00 66.3% 19.0% 57.8% 34.5% 62.4% 7.3% -2.7% 154.4K -4.9M -106.4K 0.15 14.04 884 129 30,378 16,848 2009-05-22 $13.59 $15.00 65.0% 18.6% 55.5% 33.2% 62.0% 6.0% -2.0% 156.1K -4.9M -104.9K 0.67 6.71 716 479 30,534 16,699 2009-05-26 $14.48 $15.00 60.8% 17.4% 60.2% 28.9% 62.3% 6.2% -4.8% 215.7K -9.4M -111.5K 0.74 9.96 3,664 2,696 30,751 16,695 2009-05-27 $14.33 $15.00 54.6% 15.7% 60.1% 22.7% 54.5% 3.7% -0.8% 168.4K -7.6M -111.4K 0.79 11.20 4,186 3,286 30,732 18,944 2009-05-28 $14.51 $15.00 52.4% 15.0% 59.8% 20.4% 52.6% 5.7% 0.7% 168.2K -7.8M -114.7K 3.67 9.48 908 3,333 31,261 20,026 2009-05-29 $14.81 $15.00 50.9% 14.6% 60.0% 18.9% 50.8% 5.8% 1.1% 167.1K -8.2M -123.7K 0.42 8.27 1,946 813 31,206 22,038
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