AEO Options History — September 2008 In September 2008, AEO traded between $14.25 and $16.69. ATM implied volatility averaged 56.2%, placing in the 63.9% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 16.1%. IV traded above realized volatility by 5.9% (HV 20d: 50.3%). Max pain ranged from $15.00 to $15.00. Net GEX was positive for 20 of 21 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 12 of 21 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.80.
Notable Days 2008-09-02 : Highest Volume — 10,638 contracts2008-09-09 : Largest IV spike — 29.5% change2008-09-29 : Highest IV Rank — 93.7%2008-09-29 : Largest Expected Move — 19.5%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $15.84 $14.25 $16.69 $15.72 $15.25 Max Pain $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 ATM IV 56.2% 46.4% 68.0% 47.7% 62.2% Expected Move 16.1% 13.7% 19.5% 13.7% 17.8% HV 20d 50.3% 41.1% 69.2% 54.0% 69.2% HV 60d 58.9% 53.0% 61.9% 59.6% 59.9% IV Rank 63.9% 38.9% 93.7% 42.3% 78.9% IV Percentile 73.2% 36.5% 97.6% 42.5% 91.7% Term Structure 0.2% -3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 1.8% VWIV 56.6% 46.8% 68.7% 46.8% 58.8% Skew 25d 9.1% 2.4% 13.8% 6.1% 13.8% Skew 10d 18.3% 0.0% 32.3% 9.4% 27.6% Call IV 25d 52.9% 46.9% 69.5% 47.7% 56.6% Put IV 25d 61.9% 53.8% 79.8% 53.8% 70.5% Bid-Ask Spread % 16.46 9.63 23.34 13.90 18.85 Gamma HHI 0.25 0.21 0.30 0.21 0.27 Net GEX 386.6K -74.7K 723.7K 343.2K 102.8K Net DEX -16.8M -33.6M 5.7M -16.2M -3.4M Net VEX -255.7K -272.2K -228.1K -265.1K -235.4K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.80 0.06 3.75 0.19 0.10 Total Volume 4,098.524 732 10,638 10,638 4,788 Total OI 128,277.524 112,455 138,525 126,421 119,031
Daily Data (21 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2008-09-02 $15.72 $15.00 47.7% 13.7% 54.0% 42.3% 46.8% 6.1% 5.4% 343.2K -16.2M -265.1K 0.19 13.90 8,904 1,734 68,020 58,401 2008-09-03 $15.25 $15.00 52.1% 14.9% 52.5% 53.4% 56.2% 2.4% 0.6% 384.3K -10.4M -267.3K 1.90 9.63 2,939 5,582 72,946 57,863 2008-09-04 $15.71 $15.00 52.2% 15.0% 53.3% 53.6% 51.3% 7.1% 2.4% 477.6K -17.4M -269.7K 0.14 9.81 5,801 840 73,341 61,552 2008-09-05 $16.01 $15.00 54.0% 15.5% 45.2% 58.3% 56.4% 8.2% 0.7% 545.6K -21.2M -268.9K 0.18 16.78 6,805 1,231 72,151 61,682 2008-09-08 $16.56 $15.00 46.4% 14.1% 42.2% 38.9% 51.7% 9.4% 0.3% 716.9K -30.7M -269.3K 0.30 13.14 989 301 71,427 61,827 2008-09-09 $16.02 $15.00 60.0% 16.7% 44.3% 73.6% 54.3% 10.0% -0.8% 551.8K -23.0M -268.9K 0.38 20.24 2,430 927 71,681 61,892 2008-09-10 $16.69 $15.00 53.0% 14.7% 43.5% 55.8% 53.6% 8.1% 0.5% 716.8K -33.6M -272.2K 0.58 11.32 1,906 1,110 72,050 62,380 2008-09-11 $16.63 $15.00 51.3% 14.7% 41.1% 51.4% 53.9% 10.2% 0.6% 720.8K -31.0M -271.5K 1.20 13.17 1,142 1,367 72,366 62,955 2008-09-12 $16.60 $15.00 52.0% 14.9% 41.2% 53.2% 59.1% 10.3% 0.2% 715.5K -30.8M -269.1K 0.88 13.39 1,069 945 72,624 63,158 2008-09-15 $15.99 $15.00 60.5% 17.3% 43.5% 74.7% 62.4% 6.6% -0.8% 554.0K -23.0M -258.9K 1.40 22.33 987 1,377 71,863 63,034 2008-09-16 $16.58 $15.00 54.9% 15.7% 44.8% 60.4% 59.1% 10.3% -0.2% 723.7K -31.0M -262.8K 0.60 17.84 1,226 741 71,844 63,149 2008-09-17 $15.58 $15.00 65.3% 18.7% 49.1% 87.0% 63.9% 10.7% -3.6% 428.4K -15.9M -254.6K 3.75 20.51 1,025 3,847 71,941 63,338 2008-09-18 $16.08 $15.00 62.6% 18.0% 49.9% 80.2% 60.8% 7.9% -2.1% 442.6K -20.3M -256.5K 1.30 23.34 2,988 3,873 71,646 65,714 2008-09-19 $16.37 $15.00 53.3% 15.3% 49.4% 56.5% 53.5% 8.6% -1.9% 228.5K -26.8M -254.6K 0.07 13.49 6,430 459 72,588 65,937 2008-09-22 $15.51 $15.00 57.8% 16.6% 53.9% 67.9% 55.0% 7.6% 1.2% 42.1K -3.9M -240.3K 0.29 15.92 897 256 58,126 54,329 2008-09-23 $15.26 $15.00 58.5% 16.8% 53.1% 69.7% 61.1% 12.4% -0.8% 86.5K -3.2M -239.9K 0.33 14.42 550 182 61,352 54,163 2008-09-24 $15.00 $15.00 57.1% 16.4% 52.1% 66.2% 56.2% 8.8% -0.7% 16.0K -516.9K -234.3K 1.08 18.53 1,600 1,728 61,183 54,261 2008-09-25 $15.66 $15.00 54.3% 15.6% 54.1% 59.1% 51.2% 11.4% 1.5% 164.5K -6.8M -238.1K 0.75 18.64 589 442 60,807 55,673 2008-09-26 $15.90 $15.00 57.4% 16.4% 53.4% 66.8% 54.2% 10.7% 2.0% 231.4K -9.4M -243.7K 0.06 19.40 3,779 242 61,103 55,698 2008-09-29 $14.25 $15.00 68.0% 19.5% 66.5% 93.7% 68.7% 10.3% -1.9% -74.7K 5.7M -228.1K 1.20 20.97 927 1,114 62,984 55,748 2008-09-30 $15.25 $15.00 62.2% 17.8% 69.2% 78.9% 58.8% 13.8% 1.8% 102.8K -3.4M -235.4K 0.10 18.85 4,343 445 63,079 55,952
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