AEO Options History — July 2008 In July 2008, AEO traded between $12.13 and $14.94. ATM implied volatility averaged 62.1%, placing in the 79.1% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 17.6%. IV traded below realized volatility by 6.7% (HV 20d: 68.8%). Max pain ranged from $15.00 to $17.50. Net GEX was positive for 20 of 22 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 12 of 22 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.73.
Notable Days 2008-07-09 : Highest Volume — 18,522 contracts2008-07-07 : Largest IV spike — 13.0% change2008-07-09 : Highest IV Rank — 99.8%2008-07-15 : Largest Expected Move — 19.9%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $13.68 $12.13 $14.94 $13.48 $14.00 Max Pain $15.23 $15.00 $17.50 $15.00 $15.00 ATM IV 62.1% 56.7% 70.3% 62.0% 57.0% Expected Move 17.6% 16.3% 19.9% 17.8% 16.3% HV 20d 68.8% 56.2% 79.5% 66.2% 56.2% HV 60d 55.0% 52.6% 57.4% 52.8% 56.8% IV Rank 79.1% 65.3% 99.8% 78.9% 66.0% IV Percentile 94.0% 84.9% 99.6% 97.6% 84.9% Term Structure 0.4% -4.9% 5.2% -4.9% 5.2% VWIV 61.8% 54.7% 69.9% 61.0% 58.2% Skew 25d 5.5% -6.0% 16.7% 2.3% 9.5% Skew 10d 8.0% -9.0% 30.4% 1.3% 16.7% Call IV 25d 59.8% 50.1% 69.9% 56.8% 51.5% Put IV 25d 65.2% 54.6% 74.5% 59.2% 60.9% Bid-Ask Spread % 10.37 6.44 16.93 10.78 9.42 Gamma HHI 0.23 0.17 0.28 0.23 0.24 Net GEX 130.3K -72.3K 504.5K 141.8K 78.8K Net DEX 9.3M -7.2M 23.8M 17.5M 5.3M Net VEX -241.5K -282.2K -191.2K -191.2K -259.5K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.73 0.11 3.62 0.59 0.35 Total Volume 4,935.636 839 18,522 3,841 839 Total OI 124,346.955 107,761 143,891 107,761 125,464
Daily Data (22 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2008-07-01 $13.48 $15.00 62.0% 17.8% 66.2% 78.9% 61.0% 2.3% -4.9% 141.8K 17.5M -191.2K 0.59 10.78 2,417 1,424 68,760 39,001 2008-07-02 $13.24 $15.00 57.6% 16.5% 66.1% 67.5% 59.3% -6.0% 1.4% 100.5K 18.5M -193.3K 0.67 10.37 3,269 2,195 69,124 40,447 2008-07-03 $13.37 $15.00 56.8% 16.3% 66.2% 65.4% 56.5% -1.4% 0.5% 96.4K 19.2M -197.1K 0.78 13.50 1,056 822 70,937 41,705 2008-07-07 $13.42 $17.50 64.1% 17.0% 65.8% 84.2% 56.0% 5.5% -1.9% 92.7K 18.6M -192.7K 0.23 16.93 1,867 438 70,541 41,299 2008-07-08 $13.65 $17.50 64.8% 16.9% 66.5% 85.8% 54.7% 6.8% 0.0% 183.2K 15.4M -197.8K 1.94 6.44 3,261 6,340 71,810 41,356 2008-07-09 $12.99 $15.00 70.3% 18.0% 67.7% 99.8% 62.2% 6.7% -1.8% 76.0K 15.6M -198.7K 3.62 12.47 4,013 14,509 73,794 43,072 2008-07-10 $12.55 $15.00 62.9% 18.0% 67.7% 81.0% 62.9% 5.6% -0.9% -50.5K 22.1M -222.5K 1.12 9.49 2,176 2,436 77,065 53,683 2008-07-11 $12.13 $15.00 65.9% 18.9% 68.0% 88.7% 66.0% 1.8% -2.2% -72.3K 23.8M -217.8K 1.16 10.91 2,263 2,624 78,316 54,886 2008-07-14 $12.41 $15.00 68.7% 19.7% 66.7% 95.7% 69.4% 7.4% -3.3% 5.8K 20.4M -225.7K 0.34 9.01 7,928 2,716 79,993 54,249 2008-07-15 $12.70 $15.00 69.5% 19.9% 67.9% 97.9% 69.9% 4.5% -3.7% 327.0K 14.2M -239.2K 0.78 11.89 2,325 1,806 87,245 55,875 2008-07-16 $13.96 $15.00 64.0% 18.4% 77.1% 83.9% 66.3% 6.9% -1.2% 401.4K -3.0M -273.2K 0.11 16.27 6,118 673 86,985 55,831 2008-07-17 $14.49 $15.00 64.2% 18.4% 77.8% 84.4% 68.9% 8.3% -2.4% 504.5K -7.2M -280.5K 0.26 10.40 5,207 1,367 85,170 56,013 2008-07-18 $14.44 $15.00 62.1% 17.8% 76.1% 79.0% 64.4% 9.6% -0.7% 403.6K -6.6M -280.3K 0.33 7.85 1,410 460 87,555 56,336 2008-07-21 $14.03 $15.00 62.9% 18.0% 75.4% 81.0% 64.2% 5.4% 2.1% 60.0K 5.6M -266.3K 0.52 10.40 934 490 67,058 50,908 2008-07-22 $14.42 $15.00 59.0% 16.9% 76.3% 71.0% 60.1% 8.3% 3.0% 92.0K 3.4M -264.5K 1.26 13.83 1,672 2,103 67,437 51,216 2008-07-23 $14.94 $15.00 58.7% 16.8% 77.6% 70.5% 59.9% 6.7% 1.9% 167.4K -3.0M -282.2K 0.55 9.08 4,501 2,466 68,307 52,872 2008-07-24 $14.05 $15.00 59.8% 17.1% 79.5% 73.1% 59.2% 4.8% 1.7% 13.2K 6.8M -266.4K 0.60 7.70 2,663 1,605 67,373 52,601 2008-07-25 $14.29 $15.00 56.7% 16.3% 79.4% 65.3% 56.9% 5.4% 4.5% 45.4K 4.6M -268.7K 0.51 7.99 1,130 581 67,857 52,829 2008-07-28 $14.10 $15.00 61.4% 17.6% 56.5% 77.3% 63.2% 1.8% 3.5% 32.4K 5.4M -265.0K 0.15 7.75 2,842 415 68,481 53,244 2008-07-29 $14.27 $15.00 60.6% 17.4% 56.6% 75.1% 60.5% 3.7% 3.6% 84.1K 3.6M -268.8K 0.18 9.13 2,281 402 70,484 53,203 2008-07-30 $14.12 $15.00 58.2% 16.7% 56.6% 69.1% 59.7% 16.7% 4.6% 83.8K 4.8M -261.3K 0.12 6.58 2,263 277 71,924 53,327 2008-07-31 $14.00 $15.00 57.0% 16.3% 56.2% 66.0% 58.2% 9.5% 5.2% 78.8K 5.3M -259.5K 0.35 9.42 623 216 72,376 53,088
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