AAON Iron Condor Strategy
AAON (AAON, Inc.), in the Industrials sector, (Construction industry), listed on NASDAQ.
AAON, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, focuses on the engineering, manufacturing, promotion, and sale of heating and air conditioning systems throughout the United States and Canada. The enterprise's operations are divided into three distinct divisions: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BasX. Its comprehensive product portfolio features a wide array of HVAC solutions, including rooftop units, specialized data center cooling, cleanroom climate control, chillers, pre-packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, fresh air supply units, energy recovery ventilation, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and integrated control systems. AAON markets and sells these offerings to a diverse set of commercial sectors, such as retail, manufacturing, educational institutions, hospitality, supermarkets, data centers, and the medical and pharmaceutical industries. Product distribution is managed through a dual approach, utilizing a network of independent manufacturing representatives in addition to an in-house sales team. Established in 1987, AAON, Inc. is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
AAON (AAON, Inc.) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Construction, with a market capitalization of approximately $10.38B, a trailing P/E of 87.75, a beta of 1.40 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 62-150.46, average daily share volume of 1.1M, a public-listing history dating back to 1992, approximately 5K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how AAON stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.40 indicates AAON has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. The trailing P/E of 87.75 is on the rich side, which tends to correlate with higher earnings-window IV expansion as the market debates whether forward growth supports the multiple. AAON pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a iron condor on AAON?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
Current AAON snapshot
As of June 30, 2026, spot at $127.58, ATM IV 66.40%, IV rank 29.49%, expected move 19.04%. The iron condor on AAON below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 17-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on AAON specifically: AAON IV at 66.40% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which means a premium-selling AAON iron condor collects less credit per unit of strike-width risk, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 19.04% (roughly $24.29 on the underlying). The 17-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AAON expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AAON should anchor to the underlying notional of $127.58 per share and to the trader's directional view on AAON stock.
AAON iron condor setup
The AAON iron condor below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AAON near $127.58, the first option leg uses a $135.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AAON chain at a 17-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AAON shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $135.00 | $4.30 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $140.00 | $2.68 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $120.00 | $4.50 |
| Buy 1 | Put | $115.00 | $2.30 |
AAON iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$382.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $382.50
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$117.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $116.18, $138.83
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 3.255
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
AAON iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on AAON. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$117.50 |
| $28.22 | -77.9% | -$117.50 |
| $56.43 | -55.8% | -$117.50 |
| $84.63 | -33.7% | -$117.50 |
| $112.84 | -11.6% | -$117.50 |
| $141.05 | +10.6% | -$117.50 |
| $169.26 | +32.7% | -$117.50 |
| $197.46 | +54.8% | -$117.50 |
| $225.67 | +76.9% | -$117.50 |
| $253.88 | +99.0% | -$117.50 |
When traders use iron condor on AAON
Iron condors on AAON are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if AAON stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
AAON thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AAON extends from approximately $103.29 on the downside to $151.87 on the upside. A AAON iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when AAON stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current AAON IV rank near 29.49% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on AAON at 66.40%. As a Industrials name, AAON options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AAON-specific events.
AAON iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AAON positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AAON alongside the broader basket even when AAON-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on AAON carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical AAON earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current AAON chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on AAON?
- A iron condor on AAON is the iron condor strategy applied to AAON (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With AAON stock trading near $127.58, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AAON chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are AAON iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the AAON iron condor priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 66.40%), the computed maximum profit is $382.50 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$117.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a AAON iron condor?
- The breakeven for the AAON iron condor priced on this page is roughly $116.18 and $138.83 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AAON market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 19.04%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on AAON?
- Iron condors on AAON are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if AAON stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current AAON implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- AAON ATM IV is at 66.40% with IV rank near 29.49%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.