How are AAON butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the AAON butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 60.20%), the computed maximum profit is $473.97 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$20.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a AAON butterfly?

The breakeven for the AAON butterfly priced on this page is roughly $129.93 and $140.16 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AAON market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 17.26%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current AAON implied volatility affect this butterfly?

AAON ATM IV is at 60.20% with IV rank near 28.47%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.

AAON Butterfly Strategy

AAON (AAON, Inc.), in the Industrials sector, (Construction industry), listed on NASDAQ.

AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BasX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

AAON (AAON, Inc.) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Construction, with a market capitalization of approximately $11.09B, a trailing P/E of 93.70, a beta of 1.25 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 62-149, average daily share volume of 1.0M, a public-listing history dating back to 1992, approximately 5K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how AAON stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 1.25 places AAON roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. The trailing P/E of 93.70 is on the rich side, which tends to correlate with higher earnings-window IV expansion as the market debates whether forward growth supports the multiple. AAON pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.

What is a butterfly on AAON?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current AAON snapshot

As of May 15, 2026, spot at $134.38, ATM IV 60.20%, IV rank 28.47%, expected move 17.26%. The butterfly on AAON below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on AAON specifically: AAON IV at 60.20% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a AAON butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 17.26% (roughly $23.19 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated AAON expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on AAON should anchor to the underlying notional of $134.38 per share and to the trader's directional view on AAON stock.

AAON butterfly setup

The AAON butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With AAON near $134.38, the first option leg uses a $130.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed AAON chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 AAON shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$130.00	$12.20
Sell 2	Call	$135.00	$9.75
Buy 1	Call	$140.00	$7.50

AAON butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: -$20.00
Max Profit (per contract): $473.97
Max Loss (per contract): -$20.00
Breakeven(s): $129.93, $140.16
Risk / Reward Ratio: 23.699

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

AAON butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on AAON. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	-$20.00
$29.72	-77.9%	-$20.00
$59.43	-55.8%	-$20.00
$89.14	-33.7%	-$20.00
$118.85	-11.6%	-$20.00
$148.57	+10.6%	-$20.00
$178.28	+32.7%	-$20.00
$207.99	+54.8%	-$20.00
$237.70	+76.9%	-$20.00
$267.41	+99.0%	-$20.00

When traders use butterfly on AAON

Butterflies on AAON are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AAON to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

AAON thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for AAON extends from approximately $111.19 on the downside to $157.57 on the upside. A AAON long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if AAON settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current AAON IV rank near 28.47% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on AAON at 60.20%. As a Industrials name, AAON options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to AAON-specific events.

AAON butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. AAON positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move AAON alongside the broader basket even when AAON-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current AAON chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on AAON?: A butterfly on AAON is the butterfly strategy applied to AAON (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With AAON stock trading near $134.38, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed AAON chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are AAON butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the AAON butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 60.20%), the computed maximum profit is $473.97 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$20.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a AAON butterfly?: The breakeven for the AAON butterfly priced on this page is roughly $129.93 and $140.16 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current AAON market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 17.26%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on AAON?: Butterflies on AAON are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect AAON to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current AAON implied volatility affect this butterfly?: AAON ATM IV is at 60.20% with IV rank near 28.47%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.