Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) operates in the Healthcare sector, specifically the Medical - Diagnostics & Research industry, with a market capitalization near $38.05B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 18,100 people, carrying a beta of 1.25 to the broader market. Agilent Technologies, Inc. Led by Padraig McDonnell, public since 1999-11-18.
Snapshot as of Jul 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $135.39
- Expected Move
- 9.3%
- Implied High
- $147.93
- Implied Low
- $122.85
- Front DTE
- 37 days
As of Jul 15, 2026, Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) has an expected move of 9.26%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $122.85 to $147.93 from the current $135.39. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
A Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Agilent Technologies, Inc. pricing an expected move of 9.26% from $135.39, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the A implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 9.26%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $122.85 to $147.93. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
A expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. A term-structure is in contango (slope 0.023), so longer-dated tenors price in proportionally more vol than √time scaling alone would suggest - typically because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states.
Sizing A structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. A put/call volume ratio currently at 0.05 indicates speculative call flow dominates - look for upside-skewed sentiment. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for A derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $135.39 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | 2 | 43.4% | 3.2% | $139.74 | $131.04 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 37 | 32.3% | 10.3% | $149.31 | $121.47 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 65 | 34.6% | 14.6% | $155.16 | $115.62 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93 | 33.7% | 17.0% | $158.42 | $112.36 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 128 | 33.8% | 20.0% | $162.49 | $108.29 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 156 | 35.0% | 22.9% | $166.37 | $104.41 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 184 | 34.1% | 24.2% | $168.17 | $102.61 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 219 | 33.9% | 26.3% | $170.94 | $99.84 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 247 | 34.8% | 28.6% | $174.15 | $96.63 |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 337 | 35.0% | 33.6% | $180.92 | $89.86 |
Frequently asked A expected move questions
- What is the current A expected move?
- As of Jul 15, 2026, Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) has an expected move of 9.26% over the next 37 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $122.85 to $147.93 from the current $135.39. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the A expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is A expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.