Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) operates in the Healthcare sector, specifically the Medical - Diagnostics & Research industry, with a market capitalization near $38.30B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 17,900 people, carrying a beta of 1.22 to the broader market. Agilent Technologies, Inc. Led by Padraig McDonnell, public since 1999-11-18.
Snapshot as of May 29, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $135.38
- Expected Move
- 9.1%
- Implied High
- $147.72
- Implied Low
- $123.04
- Front DTE
- 20 days
As of May 29, 2026, Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) has an expected move of 9.12%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $123.04 to $147.72 from the current $135.38. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
A Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Agilent Technologies, Inc. pricing an expected move of 9.12% from $135.38, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the A implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 9.12%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $123.04 to $147.72. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
A expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. A term-structure is in backwardation (slope -0.014), so near-dated tenors price in disproportionate vol - usually because of a known event in the front-month window.
Sizing A structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. A put/call volume ratio currently at 1.32 indicates protective put flow dominates - look for hedged-money positioning into the move. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for A derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $135.38 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 20 | 31.8% | 7.4% | $145.46 | $125.30 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 49 | 30.4% | 11.1% | $150.46 | $120.30 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 84 | 33.0% | 15.8% | $156.81 | $113.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 112 | 34.7% | 19.2% | $161.40 | $109.36 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 175 | 34.3% | 23.8% | $167.53 | $103.23 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 203 | 36.6% | 27.3% | $172.33 | $98.43 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 231 | 35.3% | 28.1% | $173.40 | $97.36 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 294 | 36.2% | 32.5% | $179.36 | $91.40 |
Frequently asked A expected move questions
- What is the current A expected move?
- As of May 29, 2026, Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) has an expected move of 9.12% over the next 20 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $123.04 to $147.72 from the current $135.38. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the A expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is A expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.