2-Year Treasury Note Futures (September 2026) (ZTU6) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

2-Year Treasury Note Futures (September 2026) (ZTU6) operates in the Interest-Rate Futures sector, specifically the Interest-Rate Futures industry, listed on CBOT. 2-Year Treasury Note Futures September 2026 contract: CBOT 2-Year Treasury Note futures (ZT): short-end US Treasury futures used for curve trading and short-rate exposure.

Snapshot as of Aug 21, 2026.

Spot Price

$102.96

HV 20-Day

1.0%

HV 60-Day

1.3%

How ZTU6 iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on 2-Year Treasury Note Futures (September 2026) options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV varies by tenor and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the ZTU6 IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV is not currently available for this ticker. . Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

ZTU6 IV/HV regimes and trade selection

Using ZTU6 vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

ZTU6 IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. The ratio of HV-20 (1.0%) to HV-60 (1.3%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for ZTU6 over the last ~37 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.