UST Butterfly Strategy
UST (ProShares - Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on AMEX.
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index.
UST (ProShares - Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $15.4M, a beta of 2.34 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 40.79-45.43, average daily share volume of 21K, a public-listing history dating back to 2010. These structural characteristics shape how UST etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.34 indicates UST has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. UST pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on UST?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current UST snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $41.58, ATM IV 13.00%, IV rank 12.04%, expected move 3.73%. The butterfly on UST below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on UST specifically: UST IV at 13.00% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a UST butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 3.73% (roughly $1.55 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated UST expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on UST should anchor to the underlying notional of $41.58 per share and to the trader's directional view on UST etf.
UST butterfly setup
The UST butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With UST near $41.58, the first option leg uses a $39.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed UST chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 UST shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $39.50 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $41.58 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $43.66 | N/A |
UST butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
UST butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on UST. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on UST
Butterflies on UST are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UST to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
UST thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for UST extends from approximately $40.03 on the downside to $43.13 on the upside. A UST long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if UST settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current UST IV rank near 12.04% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on UST at 13.00%. As a Financial Services name, UST options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to UST-specific events.
UST butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. UST positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move UST alongside the broader basket even when UST-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current UST chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on UST?
- A butterfly on UST is the butterfly strategy applied to UST (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With UST etf trading near $41.58, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed UST chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are UST butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the UST butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 13.00%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a UST butterfly?
- The breakeven for the UST butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current UST market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 3.73%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on UST?
- Butterflies on UST are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UST to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current UST implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- UST ATM IV is at 13.00% with IV rank near 12.04%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.