UBR Butterfly Strategy
UBR (ProShares - Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on AMEX.
ProShares Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index.
UBR (ProShares - Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.3M, a beta of 1.18 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 18.09-43.88, average daily share volume of 7K, a public-listing history dating back to 2010. These structural characteristics shape how UBR etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.18 places UBR roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. UBR pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on UBR?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current UBR snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $32.27, ATM IV 61.40%, IV rank 39.16%, expected move 17.60%. The butterfly on UBR below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on UBR specifically: UBR IV at 61.40% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 17.60% (roughly $5.68 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated UBR expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on UBR should anchor to the underlying notional of $32.27 per share and to the trader's directional view on UBR etf.
UBR butterfly setup
The UBR butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With UBR near $32.27, the first option leg uses a $30.66 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed UBR chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 UBR shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $30.66 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $32.27 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $33.88 | N/A |
UBR butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
UBR butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on UBR. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on UBR
Butterflies on UBR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UBR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
UBR thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for UBR extends from approximately $26.59 on the downside to $37.95 on the upside. A UBR long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if UBR settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current UBR IV rank near 39.16% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on UBR should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Financial Services name, UBR options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to UBR-specific events.
UBR butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. UBR positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move UBR alongside the broader basket even when UBR-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current UBR chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on UBR?
- A butterfly on UBR is the butterfly strategy applied to UBR (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With UBR etf trading near $32.27, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed UBR chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are UBR butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the UBR butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 61.40%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a UBR butterfly?
- The breakeven for the UBR butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current UBR market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 17.60%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on UBR?
- Butterflies on UBR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UBR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current UBR implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- UBR ATM IV is at 61.40% with IV rank near 39.16%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.