UBOT Butterfly Strategy
UBOT (Direxion Daily Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 2X ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on AMEX.
The Daily Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 2X ETF seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the performance of the Indxx Global Robotics and Artificial Intelligence Thematic Index. There is no guarantee the fund will achieve its stated investment objective.
UBOT (Direxion Daily Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 2X ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $52.3M, a beta of 3.17 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 18.76-32.08, average daily share volume of 22K, a public-listing history dating back to 2018. These structural characteristics shape how UBOT etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 3.17 indicates UBOT has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. UBOT pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on UBOT?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current UBOT snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $29.97, ATM IV 56.10%, IV rank 7.26%, expected move 16.08%. The butterfly on UBOT below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on UBOT specifically: UBOT IV at 56.10% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a UBOT butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 16.08% (roughly $4.82 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated UBOT expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on UBOT should anchor to the underlying notional of $29.97 per share and to the trader's directional view on UBOT etf.
UBOT butterfly setup
The UBOT butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With UBOT near $29.97, the first option leg uses a $28.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed UBOT chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 UBOT shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $28.00 | $3.23 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $30.00 | $2.03 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $31.00 | $1.60 |
UBOT butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$77.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $109.94
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$77.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $28.78
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.419
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
UBOT butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on UBOT. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$77.50 |
| $6.64 | -77.9% | -$77.50 |
| $13.26 | -55.8% | -$77.50 |
| $19.89 | -33.6% | -$77.50 |
| $26.51 | -11.5% | -$77.50 |
| $33.14 | +10.6% | +$22.50 |
| $39.76 | +32.7% | +$22.50 |
| $46.39 | +54.8% | +$22.50 |
| $53.01 | +76.9% | +$22.50 |
| $59.64 | +99.0% | +$22.50 |
When traders use butterfly on UBOT
Butterflies on UBOT are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UBOT to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
UBOT thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for UBOT extends from approximately $25.15 on the downside to $34.79 on the upside. A UBOT long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if UBOT settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current UBOT IV rank near 7.26% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on UBOT at 56.10%. As a Financial Services name, UBOT options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to UBOT-specific events.
UBOT butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. UBOT positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move UBOT alongside the broader basket even when UBOT-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current UBOT chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on UBOT?
- A butterfly on UBOT is the butterfly strategy applied to UBOT (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With UBOT etf trading near $29.97, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed UBOT chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are UBOT butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the UBOT butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 56.10%), the computed maximum profit is $109.94 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$77.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a UBOT butterfly?
- The breakeven for the UBOT butterfly priced on this page is roughly $28.78 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current UBOT market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 16.08%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on UBOT?
- Butterflies on UBOT are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect UBOT to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current UBOT implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- UBOT ATM IV is at 56.10% with IV rank near 7.26%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.