How are TUA butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the TUA butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 8.20%), the computed maximum profit is $64.88 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$28.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a TUA butterfly?

The breakeven for the TUA butterfly priced on this page is roughly $20.28 and $21.72 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current TUA market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 2.35%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current TUA implied volatility affect this butterfly?

TUA ATM IV is at 8.20% with IV rank near 1.53%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.

TUA Butterfly Strategy

TUA (Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management - Leveraged industry), listed on AMEX.

The Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) seeks to provide total return, before fees and expenses, that matches or outperforms the performance of the ICE US Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index on a calendar quarter basis. The Fund does not seek to achieve its stated investment objective over a period of time different than a full calendar quarter. The fund looks to target the duration of the ICE 7-10 Year US Treasury Index by investing in Treasury futures at the short end of the curve. The fund is designed to provide significant duration from only a modest capital allocation while simultaneously attempting to harvest yield curve efficiencies from the short end of the curve using 2-Year US Treasury futures contracts. The fund can be used as a replacement for less efficient intermediate duration holdings, as a means of increasing capital efficiency of shorter duration portfolio allocations, or as a building block within innovative portfolio solutions such as risk parity.

TUA (Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management - Leveraged, with a market capitalization of approximately $682.4M, a beta of 1.32 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 20.66-22.305, average daily share volume of 533K, a public-listing history dating back to 2022. These structural characteristics shape how TUA etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 1.32 indicates TUA has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. TUA pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.

What is a butterfly on TUA?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current TUA snapshot

As of May 15, 2026, spot at $20.55, ATM IV 8.20%, IV rank 1.53%, expected move 2.35%. The butterfly on TUA below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on TUA specifically: TUA IV at 8.20% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a TUA butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 2.35% (roughly $0.48 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated TUA expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on TUA should anchor to the underlying notional of $20.55 per share and to the trader's directional view on TUA etf.

TUA butterfly setup

The TUA butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With TUA near $20.55, the first option leg uses a $20.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed TUA chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 TUA shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$20.00	$0.82
Sell 2	Call	$21.00	$0.31
Buy 1	Call	$22.00	$0.08

TUA butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: -$28.00
Max Profit (per contract): $64.88
Max Loss (per contract): -$28.00
Breakeven(s): $20.28, $21.72
Risk / Reward Ratio: 2.317

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

TUA butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on TUA. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	-$28.00
$4.55	-77.8%	-$28.00
$9.10	-55.7%	-$28.00
$13.64	-33.6%	-$28.00
$18.18	-11.5%	-$28.00
$22.72	+10.6%	-$28.00
$27.27	+32.7%	-$28.00
$31.81	+54.8%	-$28.00
$36.35	+76.9%	-$28.00
$40.89	+99.0%	-$28.00

When traders use butterfly on TUA

Butterflies on TUA are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TUA to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

TUA thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for TUA extends from approximately $20.07 on the downside to $21.03 on the upside. A TUA long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if TUA settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current TUA IV rank near 1.53% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on TUA at 8.20%. As a Financial Services name, TUA options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to TUA-specific events.

TUA butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. TUA positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move TUA alongside the broader basket even when TUA-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current TUA chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on TUA?: A butterfly on TUA is the butterfly strategy applied to TUA (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With TUA etf trading near $20.55, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed TUA chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are TUA butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the TUA butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 8.20%), the computed maximum profit is $64.88 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$28.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a TUA butterfly?: The breakeven for the TUA butterfly priced on this page is roughly $20.28 and $21.72 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current TUA market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 2.35%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on TUA?: Butterflies on TUA are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TUA to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current TUA implied volatility affect this butterfly?: TUA ATM IV is at 8.20% with IV rank near 1.53%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.