TMF Covered Call Strategy
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management - Leveraged industry), listed on AMEX.
The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull & Bear 3X ETFs endeavor to achieve daily investment outcomes, before accounting for fees and expenses. Specifically, these outcomes aim to replicate either 300% of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, or 300% of its inverse (opposite) movement. Investors should be aware that the successful attainment of these precise daily objectives is not guaranteed.
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management - Leveraged, with a market capitalization of approximately $2.60B, a beta of 7.17 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 31.58-44.24, average daily share volume of 3.7M, a public-listing history dating back to 2009. These structural characteristics shape how TMF etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 7.17 indicates TMF has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. TMF pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a covered call on TMF?
A covered call pairs long stock with a short out-of-the-money call, collecting premium and capping upside above the short strike in exchange for income.
Current TMF snapshot
As of June 29, 2026, spot at $36.86, ATM IV 24.81%, IV rank 11.49%, expected move 7.11%. The covered call on TMF below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 32-day expiry.
Why this covered call structure on TMF specifically: TMF IV at 24.81% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which means a premium-selling TMF covered call collects less credit per unit of strike-width risk, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 7.11% (roughly $2.62 on the underlying). The 32-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated TMF expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on TMF should anchor to the underlying notional of $36.86 per share and to the trader's directional view on TMF etf.
TMF covered call setup
The TMF covered call below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With TMF near $36.86, the first option leg uses a $38.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed TMF chain at a 32-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 TMF shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 100 shares | Stock | $36.86 | long |
| Sell 1 | Call | $38.50 | $0.48 |
TMF covered call risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$3,638.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $212.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$3,637.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $36.38
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 0.058
Max profit equals short-strike minus cost basis plus premium times 100; max loss is cost basis minus premium (at zero). Breakeven is cost basis minus premium.
TMF covered call payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the covered call on TMF. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$3,637.00 |
| $8.16 | -77.9% | -$2,822.12 |
| $16.31 | -55.8% | -$2,007.23 |
| $24.46 | -33.7% | -$1,192.35 |
| $32.61 | -11.5% | -$377.46 |
| $40.75 | +10.6% | +$212.00 |
| $48.90 | +32.7% | +$212.00 |
| $57.05 | +54.8% | +$212.00 |
| $65.20 | +76.9% | +$212.00 |
| $73.35 | +99.0% | +$212.00 |
When traders use covered call on TMF
Covered calls on TMF are an income strategy run on existing TMF etf positions; traders typically sell calls at 25-35 delta with 30-45 days to expiration to balance premium against upside cap.
TMF thesis for this covered call
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for TMF extends from approximately $34.24 on the downside to $39.48 on the upside. A TMF covered call collects premium on an existing long TMF position, trading off upside above the short call strike for immediate income; the short strike selection should reflect the trader's view on whether TMF will breach that level within the expiration window. Current TMF IV rank near 11.49% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on TMF at 24.81%. As a Financial Services name, TMF options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to TMF-specific events.
TMF covered call positions are structurally neutral to slightly bullish; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. TMF positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move TMF alongside the broader basket even when TMF-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a covered call on TMF carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical TMF earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current TMF chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a covered call on TMF?
- A covered call on TMF is the covered call strategy applied to TMF (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral to slightly bullish: A covered call pairs long stock with a short out-of-the-money call, collecting premium and capping upside above the short strike in exchange for income. With TMF etf trading near $36.86, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed TMF chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are TMF covered call max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals short-strike minus cost basis plus premium times 100; max loss is cost basis minus premium (at zero). Breakeven is cost basis minus premium. For the TMF covered call priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 24.81%), the computed maximum profit is $212.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$3,637.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a TMF covered call?
- The breakeven for the TMF covered call priced on this page is roughly $36.38 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current TMF market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 7.11%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a covered call on TMF?
- Covered calls on TMF are an income strategy run on existing TMF etf positions; traders typically sell calls at 25-35 delta with 30-45 days to expiration to balance premium against upside cap.
- How does current TMF implied volatility affect this covered call?
- TMF ATM IV is at 24.81% with IV rank near 11.49%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.