Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF (SNPE) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF (SNPE) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management industry, with a market capitalization near $2.37B, listed on AMEX, carrying a beta of 0.99 to the broader market. Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF (the “Fund”), seeks investment results that correspond generally to the performance, before fees and expenses, of the S&P 500 Scored & Screened Index (the “Underlying Index”). public since 2019-06-26.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$67.83
Expected Move
6.0%
Implied High
$71.89
Implied Low
$63.77
Front DTE
34 days

As of May 15, 2026, Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF (SNPE) has an expected move of 5.99%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $63.77 to $71.89 from the current $67.83. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

SNPE Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF pricing an expected move of 5.99% from $67.83, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

Per-expiration expected move for SNPE derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $67.83 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
Jun 18, 20263420.9%6.4%$72.16$63.50
Jul 17, 20266318.6%7.7%$73.07$62.59
Aug 21, 20269818.4%9.5%$74.30$61.36
Nov 20, 202618919.0%13.7%$77.10$58.56

Frequently asked SNPE expected move questions

What is the current SNPE expected move?
As of May 15, 2026, Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF (SNPE) has an expected move of 5.99% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $63.77 to $71.89 from the current $67.83. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
What does the SNPE expected move mean for traders?
Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
How is SNPE expected move calculated?
The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.