SIVR Butterfly Strategy
SIVR (abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on AMEX.
abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR) seeks to track the performance of the price of the silver bullion, less the Trust's expenses.
SIVR (abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.30B, a beta of 0.98 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 30.34-115.26, average daily share volume of 2.6M, a public-listing history dating back to 2009. These structural characteristics shape how SIVR etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.98 places SIVR roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a butterfly on SIVR?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current SIVR snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $72.72, ATM IV 54.70%, IV rank 37.52%, expected move 15.68%. The butterfly on SIVR below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on SIVR specifically: SIVR IV at 54.70% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 15.68% (roughly $11.40 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated SIVR expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on SIVR should anchor to the underlying notional of $72.72 per share and to the trader's directional view on SIVR etf.
SIVR butterfly setup
The SIVR butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With SIVR near $72.72, the first option leg uses a $69.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed SIVR chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 SIVR shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $69.00 | $6.95 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $73.00 | $5.05 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $76.00 | $3.80 |
SIVR butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$65.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $325.96
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$65.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $69.65
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 5.015
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
SIVR butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on SIVR. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$65.00 |
| $16.09 | -77.9% | -$65.00 |
| $32.17 | -55.8% | -$65.00 |
| $48.24 | -33.7% | -$65.00 |
| $64.32 | -11.6% | -$65.00 |
| $80.40 | +10.6% | +$35.00 |
| $96.48 | +32.7% | +$35.00 |
| $112.55 | +54.8% | +$35.00 |
| $128.63 | +76.9% | +$35.00 |
| $144.71 | +99.0% | +$35.00 |
When traders use butterfly on SIVR
Butterflies on SIVR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SIVR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
SIVR thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for SIVR extends from approximately $61.32 on the downside to $84.12 on the upside. A SIVR long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if SIVR settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current SIVR IV rank near 37.52% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on SIVR should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Financial Services name, SIVR options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to SIVR-specific events.
SIVR butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. SIVR positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move SIVR alongside the broader basket even when SIVR-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current SIVR chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on SIVR?
- A butterfly on SIVR is the butterfly strategy applied to SIVR (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With SIVR etf trading near $72.72, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed SIVR chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are SIVR butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the SIVR butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 54.70%), the computed maximum profit is $325.96 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$65.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a SIVR butterfly?
- The breakeven for the SIVR butterfly priced on this page is roughly $69.65 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current SIVR market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 15.68%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on SIVR?
- Butterflies on SIVR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SIVR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current SIVR implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- SIVR ATM IV is at 54.70% with IV rank near 37.52%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.