Is ROBT options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Oct 13, 2026, First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) ATM IV is 60.6% against 20-day realized volatility of 19.1%. IV rank is 88.7%. ROBT options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 41.5 vol points.

What is the ROBT variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. ROBT is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does ROBT IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. ROBT's current rank of 88.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management - Global industry, with a market capitalization near $779.4M, listed on NASDAQ, carrying a beta of 1.55 to the broader market. The First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF, referred to as "the Fund," aims to deliver investment returns that broadly correspond to the price movements and income generated by a specific benchmark, prior to its own operational costs. public since 2018-02-21.

Snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026.

Spot Price: $59.19
ATM IV: 60.6%
HV 20-Day: 19.1%
HV 60-Day: 21.7%
IV Rank: 88.7%
IV Percentile: 99.2%

As of Oct 13, 2026, First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) ATM implied volatility is 60.6%. 20-day realized volatility is 19.1%, producing an IV-HV spread of +41.5 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 88.7%.

How ROBT iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 60.6% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the ROBT IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart below tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 60.6%, 88.7% IV rank, against 19.1% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 41.5 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

ROBT IV/HV regimes and trade selection

ROBT sits in the top quartile of its 1-year IV range. High-IV-rank regimes statistically favor premium-selling - the elevated implied is more likely to mean-revert than to expand further. Iron condors, covered calls, and cash-secured puts collect more premium per unit of notional risk; size wings to the implied move and exit on first sign of HV catching up.

Using ROBT vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at 0.018, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

ROBT IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. ROBT's current 88.7% IV rank places the ticker in the expansion or stress phase of that cycle. Premium-selling carries the typical structural tailwind here, but the mean-reverting compression that completes the cycle has historically arrived sharply rather than gradually. The ratio of HV-20 (19.1%) to HV-60 (21.7%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series below to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for ROBT over the last ~30 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Oct 13, 2026	60.6%	19.1%	21.7%	88.7%
Oct 12, 2026	51.5%	19.1%	21.7%	72.4%
Oct 9, 2026	31.2%	18.5%	21.7%	36.0%
Oct 8, 2026	37.2%	18.1%	21.8%	46.8%
Oct 7, 2026	29.1%	16.6%	21.4%	32.3%
Oct 6, 2026	32.3%	16.9%	21.4%	38.0%
Oct 5, 2026	28.7%	18.3%	21.4%	31.5%
Oct 2, 2026	24.7%	17.7%	21.2%	24.4%
Oct 1, 2026	25.8%	18.1%	21.4%	26.3%
Sep 30, 2026	27.9%	18.8%	21.7%	30.1%
Sep 29, 2026	27.7%	20.4%	22.0%	29.7%
Sep 28, 2026	27.6%	20.5%	22.2%	29.6%
Sep 25, 2026	26.2%	19.9%	22.1%	27.1%
Sep 24, 2026	25.1%	22.9%	22.1%	25.1%
Sep 23, 2026	24.4%	22.9%	22.6%	23.8%

Frequently asked ROBT iv/hv history questions

Is ROBT options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Oct 13, 2026, First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) ATM IV is 60.6% against 20-day realized volatility of 19.1%. IV rank is 88.7%. ROBT options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 41.5 vol points.
What is the ROBT variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. ROBT is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does ROBT IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. ROBT's current rank of 88.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.