Global X - Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF (QRMI) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Global X - Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF (QRMI) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management industry, with a market capitalization near $16.2M, listed on NASDAQ, carrying a beta of 0.33 to the broader market. The Global X Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF (QRMI) seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Nasdaq-100 Monthly Net Credit Collar 95-100 Index. public since 2021-08-26.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$15.59
Expected Move
12.7%
Implied High
$17.57
Implied Low
$13.61
Front DTE
34 days

As of May 15, 2026, Global X - Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF (QRMI) has an expected move of 12.67%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $13.61 to $17.57 from the current $15.59. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

QRMI Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Global X - Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF pricing an expected move of 12.67% from $15.59, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

Per-expiration expected move for QRMI derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $15.59 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
Jun 18, 20263444.2%13.5%$17.69$13.49
Jul 17, 20266338.1%15.8%$18.06$13.12
Oct 16, 202615435.7%23.2%$19.21$11.97
Jan 15, 202724540.0%32.8%$20.70$10.48

Frequently asked QRMI expected move questions

What is the current QRMI expected move?
As of May 15, 2026, Global X - Nasdaq 100 Risk Managed Income ETF (QRMI) has an expected move of 12.67% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $13.61 to $17.57 from the current $15.59. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
What does the QRMI expected move mean for traders?
Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
How is QRMI expected move calculated?
The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.