NOBL Butterfly Strategy
NOBL (ProShares - S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on CBOE.
The fund will invest at least 80% of its total assets in component securities of the index. The index contains a minimum of 40 stocks, which are equally weighted, and no single sector is allowed to comprise more than 30% of the index weight. It seeks to remain fully invested at all times in securities and/or financial instruments that, in combination, provide exposure to the returns of the index without regard to market conditions, trends or direction.
NOBL (ProShares - S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $11.24B, a beta of 0.71 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 98.25-115.31, average daily share volume of 741K, a public-listing history dating back to 2013. These structural characteristics shape how NOBL etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.71 places NOBL roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. NOBL pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on NOBL?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current NOBL snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $105.57, ATM IV 11.70%, IV rank 3.91%, expected move 3.35%. The butterfly on NOBL below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 63-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on NOBL specifically: NOBL IV at 11.70% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a NOBL butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 3.35% (roughly $3.54 on the underlying). The 63-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated NOBL expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on NOBL should anchor to the underlying notional of $105.57 per share and to the trader's directional view on NOBL etf.
NOBL butterfly setup
The NOBL butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With NOBL near $105.57, the first option leg uses a $100.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed NOBL chain at a 63-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 NOBL shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $100.00 | $7.50 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $106.00 | $2.55 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $111.00 | $1.53 |
NOBL butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$392.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $196.95
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$392.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $103.93, $108.08
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 0.502
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
NOBL butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on NOBL. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$392.50 |
| $23.35 | -77.9% | -$392.50 |
| $46.69 | -55.8% | -$392.50 |
| $70.03 | -33.7% | -$392.50 |
| $93.37 | -11.6% | -$392.50 |
| $116.72 | +10.6% | -$292.50 |
| $140.06 | +32.7% | -$292.50 |
| $163.40 | +54.8% | -$292.50 |
| $186.74 | +76.9% | -$292.50 |
| $210.08 | +99.0% | -$292.50 |
When traders use butterfly on NOBL
Butterflies on NOBL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect NOBL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
NOBL thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for NOBL extends from approximately $102.03 on the downside to $109.11 on the upside. A NOBL long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if NOBL settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current NOBL IV rank near 3.91% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on NOBL at 11.70%. As a Financial Services name, NOBL options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to NOBL-specific events.
NOBL butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. NOBL positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move NOBL alongside the broader basket even when NOBL-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current NOBL chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on NOBL?
- A butterfly on NOBL is the butterfly strategy applied to NOBL (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With NOBL etf trading near $105.57, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed NOBL chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are NOBL butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the NOBL butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 11.70%), the computed maximum profit is $196.95 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$392.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a NOBL butterfly?
- The breakeven for the NOBL butterfly priced on this page is roughly $103.93 and $108.08 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current NOBL market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 3.35%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on NOBL?
- Butterflies on NOBL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect NOBL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current NOBL implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- NOBL ATM IV is at 11.70% with IV rank near 3.91%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.