NBIL Butterfly Strategy

NBIL (GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on NASDAQ.

NBIL is a short-term tactical tool that aims to deliver 2x the price return, less fees and expenses, for a single day of Nebius Group N.V. stock. Purchasers holding shares for longer than a day need to monitor and frequently rebalance their position to attempt to achieve the 2x multiple. At the adviser's discretion, the fund may utilize standardized exchange-traded and FLEX call and put options with 1-week to 1-month terms. It may either buy deep in-the-money calls or use a synthetic forward options strategy. Aside from the leverage, the shares take on added volatility due to the lack of diversification. Purchasers should conduct their own stock research prior to initiating a position and trade with conviction.

NBIL (GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $227.3M, a beta of 7.83 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 6.37-68.49, average daily share volume of 3.2M, a public-listing history dating back to 2025. These structural characteristics shape how NBIL etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 7.83 indicates NBIL has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.

What is a butterfly on NBIL?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

NBIL snapshot

As of September 29, 2026, spot at $26.71, ATM IV 156.70%, expected move 44.92%. The butterfly on NBIL below is built from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 17-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on NBIL specifically: IV rank is unavailable in the current snapshot, so regime-based timing for NBIL is inferred from ATM IV at 156.70% alone, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 44.92% (roughly $12.00 on the underlying). The 17-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated NBIL expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on NBIL should anchor to the underlying notional of $26.71 per share and to the trader's directional view on NBIL etf.

NBIL butterfly setup

The NBIL butterfly below is built from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With NBIL at $26.71 on that close, the first option leg uses a $25.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed NBIL chain at a 17-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 NBIL shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Call$25.00$4.50
Sell 2Call$27.00$3.55
Buy 1Call$28.00$3.23

NBIL butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
-$62.50
Max Profit (per contract)
$125.74
Max Loss (per contract)
-$62.50
Breakeven(s)
$25.63
Risk / Reward Ratio
2.012

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

NBIL butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on NBIL. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

NBIL butterfly profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedNBIL butterfly payoff at expiration-$50$0$50$100$10$20$30$40$50Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $25.63Spot $26.71
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-100.0%-$62.50
$5.91-77.9%-$62.50
$11.82-55.7%-$62.50
$17.72-33.6%-$62.50
$23.63-11.5%-$62.50
$29.53+10.6%+$37.50
$35.44+32.7%+$37.50
$41.34+54.8%+$37.50
$47.25+76.9%+$37.50
$53.15+99.0%+$37.50

When traders use butterfly on NBIL

Butterflies on NBIL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect NBIL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

NBIL thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for NBIL extends from approximately $14.71 on the downside to $38.71 on the upside. A NBIL long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if NBIL settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. As a Financial Services name, NBIL options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to NBIL-specific events.

NBIL butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. NBIL positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move NBIL alongside the broader basket even when NBIL-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current NBIL chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on NBIL?
A butterfly on NBIL is the butterfly strategy applied to NBIL (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With NBIL etf at $26.71 on the September 29, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed NBIL chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
How are NBIL butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the NBIL butterfly priced from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 156.70%), the computed maximum profit is $125.74 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$62.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a NBIL butterfly?
The breakeven for the NBIL butterfly priced on this page is roughly $25.63 at expiration, derived from the September 29, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The NBIL market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 44.92%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on NBIL?
Butterflies on NBIL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect NBIL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current NBIL implied volatility affect this butterfly?
Current NBIL ATM IV is 156.70%; IV rank context is unavailable in the current snapshot.

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