MSFL Butterfly Strategy
MSFL (GraniteShares 2x Long MSFT Daily ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on NASDAQ.
The Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 2 times (200%) the daily percentage change of the common stock of Microsoft, (NASDAQ: MSFT) There is no guarantee that the Fund will meet its stated objective. The fund should not be expected to provide 2 times the cumulative return of MSFT for periods greater than a day.
MSFL (GraniteShares 2x Long MSFT Daily ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $13.2M, a beta of 2.63 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 14.13-36.97, average daily share volume of 1.3M, a public-listing history dating back to 2024. These structural characteristics shape how MSFL etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.63 indicates MSFL has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.
What is a butterfly on MSFL?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current MSFL snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $19.49, ATM IV 58.60%, IV rank 44.90%, expected move 16.80%. The butterfly on MSFL below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on MSFL specifically: MSFL IV at 58.60% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 16.80% (roughly $3.27 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated MSFL expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on MSFL should anchor to the underlying notional of $19.49 per share and to the trader's directional view on MSFL etf.
MSFL butterfly setup
The MSFL butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With MSFL near $19.49, the first option leg uses a $19.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed MSFL chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 MSFL shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $19.00 | $1.78 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $19.00 | $1.78 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $20.00 | $1.25 |
MSFL butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$52.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $52.50
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$47.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $19.53
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.105
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
MSFL butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on MSFL. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | +$52.50 |
| $4.32 | -77.8% | +$52.50 |
| $8.63 | -55.7% | +$52.50 |
| $12.93 | -33.6% | +$52.50 |
| $17.24 | -11.5% | +$52.50 |
| $21.55 | +10.6% | -$47.50 |
| $25.86 | +32.7% | -$47.50 |
| $30.17 | +54.8% | -$47.50 |
| $34.48 | +76.9% | -$47.50 |
| $38.78 | +99.0% | -$47.50 |
When traders use butterfly on MSFL
Butterflies on MSFL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect MSFL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
MSFL thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for MSFL extends from approximately $16.22 on the downside to $22.76 on the upside. A MSFL long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if MSFL settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current MSFL IV rank near 44.90% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on MSFL should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Financial Services name, MSFL options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to MSFL-specific events.
MSFL butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. MSFL positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move MSFL alongside the broader basket even when MSFL-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current MSFL chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on MSFL?
- A butterfly on MSFL is the butterfly strategy applied to MSFL (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With MSFL etf trading near $19.49, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed MSFL chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are MSFL butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the MSFL butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 58.60%), the computed maximum profit is $52.50 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$47.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a MSFL butterfly?
- The breakeven for the MSFL butterfly priced on this page is roughly $19.53 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current MSFL market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 16.80%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on MSFL?
- Butterflies on MSFL are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect MSFL to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current MSFL implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- MSFL ATM IV is at 58.60% with IV rank near 44.90%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.