Global X - U.S. Cash Flow Kings 100 ETF (FLOW) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Global X - U.S. Cash Flow Kings 100 ETF (FLOW) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management - Global industry, with a market capitalization near $26.7M, listed on AMEX, employing roughly 4,900 people, carrying a beta of 0.71 to the broader market. The Global X U. Led by Marcus Michael, public since 2023-07-19.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $36.86
- Expected Move
- 10.4%
- Implied High
- $40.69
- Implied Low
- $33.03
- Front DTE
- 34 days
As of May 15, 2026, Global X - U.S. Cash Flow Kings 100 ETF (FLOW) has an expected move of 10.38%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $33.03 to $40.69 from the current $36.86. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
FLOW Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Global X - U.S. Cash Flow Kings 100 ETF pricing an expected move of 10.38% from $36.86, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for FLOW derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $36.86 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 34 | 36.2% | 11.0% | $40.93 | $32.79 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 63 | 31.1% | 12.9% | $41.62 | $32.10 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 98 | 33.4% | 17.3% | $43.24 | $30.48 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 189 | 34.6% | 24.9% | $46.04 | $27.68 |
Frequently asked FLOW expected move questions
- What is the current FLOW expected move?
- As of May 15, 2026, Global X - U.S. Cash Flow Kings 100 ETF (FLOW) has an expected move of 10.38% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $33.03 to $40.69 from the current $36.86. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the FLOW expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is FLOW expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.