iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Snapshot as of May 1, 2026.

Spot Price
$29.66
Expected Move
16.6%
Implied High
$34.58
Implied Low
$24.74
Front DTE
14 days

As of May 1, 2026, iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB) has an expected move of 16.60% — a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $24.74 to $34.58 from the current $29.66. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

Per-expiration expected move for ETHB derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $29.66 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions — roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
May 15, 20261457.9%11.3%$33.02$26.30
Jun 18, 20264855.5%20.1%$35.63$23.69
Sep 18, 202614066.1%40.9%$41.80$17.52
Dec 18, 202623162.8%50.0%$44.48$14.84