Global X - Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Global X - Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management - Global industry, with a market capitalization near $2.09B, listed on NASDAQ, carrying a beta of 1.34 to the broader market. The Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) is structured to closely track the overall investment performance—including both capital appreciation and income generation—of the Solactive Data Center REITs & Digital Infrastructure Index, before any management fees or operational expenses are considered. public since 2020-10-29.
Snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $26.30
- Expected Move
- 6.8%
- Implied High
- $28.08
- Implied Low
- $24.52
- Front DTE
- 37 days
As of Oct 14, 2026, Global X - Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) has an expected move of 6.77%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $24.52 to $28.08 from the current $26.30. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
DTCR Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Global X - Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF pricing an expected move of 6.77% from $26.30, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the DTCR implied-range chart
The shaded range below shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 6.77%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $24.52 to $28.08. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
DTCR expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. DTCR term-structure is in contango (slope 0.047), so longer-dated tenors price in proportionally more vol than √time scaling alone would suggest - typically because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states. With IV rank at 3.0%, the implied move is at the low end of the typical DTCR range - cheap optionality for buyers, thin premium for sellers.
Sizing DTCR structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. DTCR put/call volume ratio currently at 0.01 indicates speculative call flow dominates - look for upside-skewed sentiment. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for DTCR derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $26.30 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2 | 301.0% | 22.3% | $32.16 | $20.44 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 37 | 23.6% | 7.5% | $28.28 | $24.32 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 93 | 28.3% | 14.3% | $30.06 | $22.54 |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 184 | 28.8% | 20.4% | $31.68 | $20.92 |
Frequently asked DTCR expected move questions
- What is the current DTCR expected move?
- As of Oct 14, 2026, Global X - Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) has an expected move of 6.77% over the next 37 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $24.52 to $28.08 from the current $26.30. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the DTCR expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is DTCR expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.