Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF (BUCK) Max Pain Analysis
Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.
Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF (BUCK) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management industry, with a market capitalization near $422.5M, listed on AMEX, carrying a beta of 0.08 to the broader market. The Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF (BUCK) seeks to provide monthly income by investing at least 80% of its net assets in U. public since 2022-10-28.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $23.50
- Max Pain Strike
- $23.00
- Total OI
- 29
As of May 15, 2026, Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF (BUCK) max pain sits at $23.00, which is below the current spot price of $23.50 (2.1% away). Spot sits 2.1% below max pain - close enough that a routine end-of-cycle gamma roll could pull price toward the level, but far enough that catalyst-driven flow would dominate. BUCK is a low-priced underlying (spot $23.50), where $0.50 or finer strike spacing increases the number of viable pin candidates and dampens the dominant-strike effect. Total open interest across the listed chain is comparatively thin (29 contracts), so single-strike pinning is less reliable than it is for high-OI names. BUCK is currently in negative dealer gamma (-$1.2K), a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them, weakening the pin-toward-max-pain bias. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.
BUCK Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level
With spot 2.1% from the $23.00 max-pain level and Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF in a negative-gamma regime, where dealer hedging amplifies directional moves and weakens any pin, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.
Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked BUCK max pain analysis questions
- What is the current BUCK max pain strike?
- As of May 15, 2026, Simplify Treasury Option Income ETF (BUCK) max pain sits at $23.00, which is 2.1% below the current spot price of $23.50. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. A 2.1% gap is close enough that a routine end-of-cycle gamma roll could pull spot toward the level, but far enough that catalyst-driven flow typically dominates.
- Does BUCK pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
- BUCK is currently in negative dealer gamma, a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them. The pin-toward-max-pain bias weakens here because dealer hedging adds momentum rather than mean reversion. Total open interest across BUCK (29 contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether BUCK actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
- How is BUCK max pain calculated?
- Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. BUCK put/call OI ratio is 13.50 - put-heavy, which biases the max-pain calculation toward strikes below current spot when the put OI concentrates there.