BITS Butterfly Strategy
BITS (Global X - Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management - Global industry), listed on NASDAQ.
The Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS) seeks to achieve long-term capital appreciation.
BITS (Global X - Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management - Global, with a market capitalization of approximately $32.4M, a beta of 2.74 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 48.88-118.78, average daily share volume of 4K, a public-listing history dating back to 2021. These structural characteristics shape how BITS etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.74 indicates BITS has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. BITS pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on BITS?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current BITS snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $69.49, ATM IV 45.60%, IV rank 3.02%, expected move 13.07%. The butterfly on BITS below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on BITS specifically: BITS IV at 45.60% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a BITS butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 13.07% (roughly $9.08 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated BITS expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on BITS should anchor to the underlying notional of $69.49 per share and to the trader's directional view on BITS etf.
BITS butterfly setup
The BITS butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With BITS near $69.49, the first option leg uses a $66.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed BITS chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 BITS shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $66.00 | $6.00 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $69.00 | $4.05 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $72.00 | $2.78 |
BITS butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$67.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $217.92
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$67.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $66.68, $71.33
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 3.228
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
BITS butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on BITS. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$67.50 |
| $15.37 | -77.9% | -$67.50 |
| $30.74 | -55.8% | -$67.50 |
| $46.10 | -33.7% | -$67.50 |
| $61.46 | -11.5% | -$67.50 |
| $76.83 | +10.6% | -$67.50 |
| $92.19 | +32.7% | -$67.50 |
| $107.55 | +54.8% | -$67.50 |
| $122.92 | +76.9% | -$67.50 |
| $138.28 | +99.0% | -$67.50 |
When traders use butterfly on BITS
Butterflies on BITS are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BITS to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
BITS thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for BITS extends from approximately $60.41 on the downside to $78.57 on the upside. A BITS long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if BITS settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current BITS IV rank near 3.02% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on BITS at 45.60%. As a Financial Services name, BITS options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to BITS-specific events.
BITS butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. BITS positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move BITS alongside the broader basket even when BITS-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current BITS chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on BITS?
- A butterfly on BITS is the butterfly strategy applied to BITS (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With BITS etf trading near $69.49, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed BITS chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are BITS butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the BITS butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 45.60%), the computed maximum profit is $217.92 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$67.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a BITS butterfly?
- The breakeven for the BITS butterfly priced on this page is roughly $66.68 and $71.33 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current BITS market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 13.07%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on BITS?
- Butterflies on BITS are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BITS to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current BITS implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- BITS ATM IV is at 45.60% with IV rank near 3.02%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.