BAI Butterfly Strategy
BAI (iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF), in the Financial Services sector, (Asset Management industry), listed on AMEX.
The iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF seeks to maximize total return.
BAI (iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Asset Management, with a market capitalization of approximately $8.33B, a beta of 2.29 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 25.17-48.68, average daily share volume of 2.9M, a public-listing history dating back to 2024. These structural characteristics shape how BAI etf options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.29 indicates BAI has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. BAI pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on BAI?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current BAI snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $46.98, ATM IV 40.90%, IV rank 32.93%, expected move 11.73%. The butterfly on BAI below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on BAI specifically: BAI IV at 40.90% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 11.73% (roughly $5.51 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated BAI expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on BAI should anchor to the underlying notional of $46.98 per share and to the trader's directional view on BAI etf.
BAI butterfly setup
The BAI butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With BAI near $46.98, the first option leg uses a $45.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed BAI chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 BAI shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $45.00 | $3.48 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $47.00 | $2.28 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $49.00 | $1.48 |
BAI butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$40.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $137.39
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$40.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $45.41, $48.60
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 3.392
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
BAI butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on BAI. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$40.50 |
| $10.40 | -77.9% | -$40.50 |
| $20.78 | -55.8% | -$40.50 |
| $31.17 | -33.7% | -$40.50 |
| $41.56 | -11.5% | -$40.50 |
| $51.94 | +10.6% | -$40.50 |
| $62.33 | +32.7% | -$40.50 |
| $72.72 | +54.8% | -$40.50 |
| $83.10 | +76.9% | -$40.50 |
| $93.49 | +99.0% | -$40.50 |
When traders use butterfly on BAI
Butterflies on BAI are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BAI to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
BAI thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for BAI extends from approximately $41.47 on the downside to $52.49 on the upside. A BAI long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if BAI settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current BAI IV rank near 32.93% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on BAI should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Financial Services name, BAI options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to BAI-specific events.
BAI butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. BAI positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move BAI alongside the broader basket even when BAI-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current BAI chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on BAI?
- A butterfly on BAI is the butterfly strategy applied to BAI (etf). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With BAI etf trading near $46.98, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed BAI chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are BAI butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the BAI butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 40.90%), the computed maximum profit is $137.39 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$40.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a BAI butterfly?
- The breakeven for the BAI butterfly priced on this page is roughly $45.41 and $48.60 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current BAI market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 11.73%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on BAI?
- Butterflies on BAI are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect BAI to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current BAI implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- BAI ATM IV is at 40.90% with IV rank near 32.93%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.