Is AMZU options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jul 15, 2026, Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) ATM IV is 83.1% against 20-day realized volatility of 68.1%. IV rank is 45.9%. AMZU options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 15.0 vol points.

What is the AMZU variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AMZU is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does AMZU IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AMZU's current rank of 45.9% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management - Leveraged industry, with a market capitalization near $365.8M, listed on NASDAQ, carrying a beta of 3.00 to the broader market. The Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF and the Direxion Daily AMZN Bear 1X ETF are designed to achieve distinct daily investment returns, calculated before any fees or operating expenses. public since 2022-09-07.

Snapshot as of Jul 15, 2026.

Spot Price: $37.66
ATM IV: 83.1%
HV 20-Day: 68.1%
HV 60-Day: 59.1%
IV Rank: 45.9%
IV Percentile: 89.3%

As of Jul 15, 2026, Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) ATM implied volatility is 83.1%. 20-day realized volatility is 68.1%, producing an IV-HV spread of +15.0 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 45.9%.

How AMZU iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 83.1% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the AMZU IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 83.1%, 45.9% IV rank, against 68.1% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 15.0 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

AMZU IV/HV regimes and trade selection

AMZU IV rank at 45.9% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using AMZU vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Backwardation (negative slope -0.087) indicates acute near-term event risk - near-dated tenors price disproportionate vol. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

AMZU IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. AMZU's 45.9% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (68.1%) to HV-60 (59.1%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for AMZU over the last ~31 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jul 15, 2026	83.1%	68.1%	59.1%	45.9%
Jul 14, 2026	74.6%	70.5%	58.3%	35.7%
Jul 13, 2026	73.6%	71.4%	58.3%	34.5%
Jul 10, 2026	63.0%	71.8%	58.3%	21.8%
Jul 9, 2026	67.8%	73.7%	60.8%	27.6%
Jul 8, 2026	71.9%	73.3%	60.6%	32.5%
Jul 7, 2026	72.1%	73.1%	61.0%	32.7%
Jul 6, 2026	68.7%	75.1%	64.3%	28.7%
Jul 2, 2026	65.5%	76.2%	65.8%	24.8%
Jul 1, 2026	66.9%	79.1%	65.8%	26.5%
Jun 30, 2026	69.5%	78.1%	65.7%	29.6%
Jun 29, 2026	67.6%	80.5%	65.9%	27.3%
Jun 26, 2026	64.9%	70.0%	63.3%	24.1%
Jun 25, 2026	65.7%	70.6%	65.4%	25.1%
Jun 24, 2026	66.9%	71.6%	63.6%	26.5%

Frequently asked AMZU iv/hv history questions

Is AMZU options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jul 15, 2026, Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) ATM IV is 83.1% against 20-day realized volatility of 68.1%. IV rank is 45.9%. AMZU options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 15.0 vol points.
What is the AMZU variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. AMZU is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does AMZU IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. AMZU's current rank of 45.9% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.